Abstract— SARS-CoV-2 has emerged to cause the outbreak of
COVID-19, which has expanded into a worldwide human
pandemic. Although detailed experimental data on animal
experiments would provide insight into drug efficacy, the
scientists involved in these experiments would be exposed to
severe risks. In this context, we propose a computational
framework for studying infection dynamics that can be used to
capture the growth rate of viral replication and lung epithelial
cell in presence of SARS-CoV-2. Specifically, we formulate the
model consisting of a system of non-linear ODEs that can be used
for visualizing the infection dynamics in a cell population
considering the role of T cells and Macrophages. The major
contribution of the proposed simulation method is to utilize the
infection progression model in testing the efficacy of the drugs
having various mechanisms and analyzing the effect of time of
drug administration on virus clearance.
Clinical Relevance—The proposed computational framework
incorporates viral infection dynamics and role of immune
response in Covid-19 that can be used to test the impact of drug
efficacy and time of drug administration on infection mitigation.
I. INTRODUCTION
In December 2019, a serious outbreak occurred in China due
to coronavirus, which is named as the novel COVID-19. The
novel COVID-19, which caused this infection belongs to the
family of SARS, a Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
(SARS-CoV) [1]. The SARS-CoV-2 exponentially expanded
across the globe into a human pandemic. Patients with severe
infection suffer from acute respiratory distress, resulting in
multiple organ failures and fatality.
Coronaviruses are enveloped positive-stranded RNA viruses,
and generally infect the epithelial cells in the respiratory and
gastrointestinal tract. COVID-19 is a highly contagious
disease indicating the need for widespread vaccination. In the
absence of any effective drug with an unknown
epidemiological life cycle, mathematical models are crucial
for studying various pathophysiological processes and
immunological responses of real-world problems. By using
mathematical models for these processes, information on drug
efficacy can be obtained [2], [3].
In this context, we plan to build a computational framework
for visualizing SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics in presence
of immune response and analyzing the effect of drug efficacy
on virus clearance (Figure 1). To achieve this, an ODE model
*Research supported by Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad,
Telangana, India
Surbhi Sharma is with the Department of Chemical Engineering, IIT
Hyderabad, Sangareddy, India (e-mail: ch17resch11001@iith.ac.in)
Abha Saxena is with the Department of Chemical Engineering, IIT
Hyderabad, Sangareddy, India (e-mail: ch15resch11001@iith.ac.in)
system was developed which was validated from the
experimental data collected on growth of SARS-CoV-2 from
throat swab samples [4]. Additionally, the model includes the
response of adaptive and innate immune system, which was
validated using bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) sample
obtained from patients with moderate and severe COVID-19
infections [5].
The existing mathematical models for viral infection are
mostly target-cell limited models that have been developed to
understand the mechanism of viral infection inside the host
cells [2], [3], [6]. These model variables generally include:
uninfected target cells, which in the case of SARS-CoV-2
infection is the lung epithelial cells, infected target cells,
which are capable of producing virus particles and the virus
particle itself. None of the previous models incorporate the
dynamics of T cells and macrophages in regulation of the
infection progression.
In order to identify the contribution of T cells and
Macrophages, firstly, we formulate and compare two models
where model 1 (EIVT mode) considers E, representing
uninfected epithelial cells, I representing infected epithelial
cells, V representing virus and T representing T cells.
Whereas model 2 (EIVTM model) consists of a fifth entitiy
M, representing the macrophages along with the variables
considered in EIVT model. Secondly, parameter estimation
was performed using sequential quadratic programming
Soumita Chel, is with the Department of Chemical Engineering, IIT
Hyderabad, Sangareddy, India (e-mail: csesoumita@gmail.com)
Kishalay Mitra, is with the Department of Chemical Engineering, IIT
Hyderabad, Sangareddy, India (e-mail: kishalay@iith.ac.in)
Lopamudra Giri is with the Department of Chemical Engineering, IIT
Hyderabad, Sangareddy, India (Corresponding author, phone number: +91-
40-2301-7024, e-mail: giril@iith.ac.in)
Surbhi Sharma, Abha Saxena, Soumita Chel, Kishalay Mitra, Lopamudra Giri
Mathematical modeling of viral infection dynamics and immune
response in SARS-CoV-2: A computational framework for testing
drug efficacy
Figure 1. Graphical abstract of the workflow. The interaction between different
model variables and the description of the data used for the model is shown.
2021 43rd Annual International Conference of the
IEEE Engineering in Medicine & Biology Society (EMBC)
Oct 31 - Nov 4, 2021. Virtual Conference
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