Chapter 5
Financial Analysis
Until now, the profitability of a PV system was evaluated according to the common
project indicators, the Net Present Value and the Internal Rate of Return. They give
really useful information and they have the advantage of being simple to calculate
and to interprete. In short, they are a very good first approximation of the project’s
profitability and most of the time they offer enough information for the client to take
the decision to invest or not. However, the NPV does not take into account the
variability of some parameters and in some cases does not reflect all the possibility
of investment. In particular, basing the decision of starting a project only on the
value of its NPV is most of the time equivalent to forget the possibility of post-
poning the project and not to consider that the different variables may change in the
course of the project’s life time. For long-term investment with uncertain variables
it can be a problem. The investment in solar energy corresponds to this case, as it is
a project over 25 years with a great uncertainty on the evolution of electric prices.
This is why the purpose of this chapter is to include in our financial evaluation
hypothesis about changes in the electricity tariffs and see if it could change the
decision about the investment.
This chapter is divided in two parts. First we will determine in which cases it
could be advantageous to postpone the investment in the solar installation, and then
which are the conditions that could justify the abandon of the project already
underway. For both cases, we will consider the installation of a 1.5 kWp system in
Seville area, which is one of the most profitable situations according to the previous
analysis.
5.1 Is It Interesting to Postpone the Investment?
In this paragraph we will carry out a simple calculation that allows to know if it is
better to postpone the beginning of the project or to invest right now. We make the
hypothesis that the financial resources of the investor are illimited. In that case, it is
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019
Á. Arcos-Vargas and L. Riviere, Grid Parity and Carbon Footprint,
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