2
Poland's Quest for Economic
Stabilization, 1988-1991:
Interaction of Political Economy
and Economics
Branko Milanovic
Poland's stabilization program of January 1990 has attracted wide-
spread attention.
1
It is so far the boldest attempt to transform a socialist
economy suffering from a high degree of instability (inflation,
shortages) into a stable capitalist economy. It thus involves two separate
components: macroeconomic stabilization and systemic reform. In this
chapter we shall be concerned with the first component. This chapter is
organized in four sections. In the first two sections we examine,
respectively, the Price and Income Operation of February 1988 (the so-
called second stage of reform) and the change in policy that ensued un-
der the Rakowski government, including the removal of food subsidies
in August 1989. The third section discusses the January 1990 Stabiliza-
tion program.
As we demonstrate, the 1990 Stabilization program, however impres-
sive, cannot be considered in isolation. Prior to the January 1990
stabilization there were at least two years of intensive attempts at
reform .. Reforms failed, either because no minimal social consensus
could be achieved, or because they were badly designed. However, they
hold lessons for other countries that may engage themselves along the
same road as Poland. Their failure also paved the way for a much more
ambitious project that took place in January 1990.
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K. Z. Poznanski (ed.), Stabilization and Privatization in Poland
© Kluwer Academic Publishers 1993