Citation: Farzin, I.; Abbasi, M.;
Macioszek, E.; Mamdoohi, A.R.;
Ciari, F. Moving toward a More
Sustainable Autonomous Mobility,
Case of Heterogeneity in Preferences.
Sustainability 2023, 15, 460. https://
doi.org/10.3390/su15010460
Academic Editors: Qixiu Cheng,
Kai Huang, Yongxiang Zhang
and Yu Yao
Received: 30 November 2022
Revised: 19 December 2022
Accepted: 23 December 2022
Published: 27 December 2022
Copyright: © 2022 by the authors.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
4.0/).
sustainability
Article
Moving toward a More Sustainable Autonomous Mobility, Case
of Heterogeneity in Preferences
Iman Farzin
1
, Mohammadhossein Abbasi
1
, El ˙ zbieta Macioszek
2,
* , Amir Reza Mamdoohi
1
and Francesco Ciari
3
1
Transportation Planning Department, Faculty of Civil & Environmental Engineering,
Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 14115-111, Iran
2
Department of Transport Systems, Traffic Engineering and Logistics, Faculty of Transport and Aviation
Engineering, Silesian University of Technology, Krasi´ nskiego 8 Street, 40-019 Katowice, Poland
3
Department of Civil, Geological and Mining Engineering, Polytechnique Montréal University,
Montreal, QC H3T 1J4, Canada
* Correspondence: elzbieta.macioszek@polsl.pl; Tel.: +48-32-603-41-50
Abstract: Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have a number of potential advantages, although some research
indicates that this technology may increase dependence on private cars. An alternative approach to
bringing such technology to market is through autonomous taxis (ATs) and buses, which can assist
in making transportation more sustainable. This paper aims at examining the role of attitudinal,
travel-related, and individual factors in preferences for a modal shift from conventional cars toward
ATs and exclusive-lane autonomous buses (ELABs), exploring the existence of heterogeneity and its
possible sources. The proposed mixed logit model with a decomposition of random coefficients uses
1251 valid responses from a stated preference survey distributed in Tehran, in 2019. Results show that
there is significant taste variation among individuals with respect to ATs’ travel costs, ELABs’ travel
times, and walking distances to ELAB stations. Furthermore, exploring the sources of heterogeneity
indicates that women are more sensitive to ATs’ travel costs and walking distances to ELAB stations
while they are less sensitive to ELABs’ travel times. Moreover, travel time in discretionary activities
reduces the utility of ELABs more than it does in mandatory activities. Transportation authorities can
use these findings to establish more effective policies for the successful implementation of AVs.
Keywords: autonomous bus; autonomous taxi; mixed logit; preference heterogeneity; shifting behavior
1. Introduction
Private vehicle ownership and use has led to many challenges facing metropolises,
including threats to public health, air pollution, and congestion. This highlights the need to
move towards sustainable cities [1]. In recent years, a growing focus has been placed on
new technologies in pursuit of a sustainable urban development pathway [2]. Autonomous
Vehicles (AVs), as a new paradigm in mobility, are closer to entering the mass market than
ever before in the transportation sector [3,4]. AVs offer a variety of substantial benefits
that are expected to revolutionize the transportation industry in the future [5] such as
increasing traffic flow efficiency [6,7], allowing optimal use of transport infrastructures [8],
reducing fatal accidents [9,10], increasing mobility [11], and development of sustainable
and intelligent urban mobility by mitigating the externalities of conventional cars usage [12].
Several studies, however, are concerned about the possibility of negative consequences
from these vehicles, including an increase in reliance on private cars [10], a reduction in the
share of public transportation [13], and the affordability of purchasing such vehicles based
on their expected high price [14]. Autonomous taxis (ATs) and autonomous buses (ABs)
can be considered as a possible sustainable solution, as they decrease car ownership and
increase vehicle occupancy as well as improve efficiency. ATs and ABs could diminish these
detrimental effects and lead to an enhancement in transportation system performance. A
Sustainability 2023, 15, 460. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010460 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability