Psychological Reports, 2010, 106, 3, 731-736. © Psychological Reports 2010
DOI 10.2466/PR0.106.3.731-736 ISSN 0033-2941
NOTES ON THE DETERMINANTS OF SUICIDE RATES
IN ITALY’S REGIONS: A REPLY TO VORACEK (2009)
1
EMANUELE FELICE
University of Siena
Summary.—This article is a review of Voracek’s report (2009) of aggregate in-
telligence and suicide rates in Italy’s regions, contending some indings and pro-
posing new evidence and suggestions for further research. Voracek did not use
intelligence data, but educational atainment, which in Italy’s regions is afected by
sharp imbalances in the quality of public schools and may not relect diferences
in intelligence. The statistical analyses were inadequate given the small number of
cases; the resulting correlation could be meaningless or even misleading. The paper
shows that when the analysis is extended to other variables (latitude) or historical
periods (1911) the correlations reported by Voracek are not signiicant. This criti-
cism is based on perspectives among diferent branches of psychology and cogni-
tive sciences, economic and social history, and economic geography.
Voracek’s article (2009) about the correlation between intelligence and
suicide rate in Italy’s regions evokes a fascinating topic (“quis auget sci-
entiam, auget et dolorem,” to quote the Ecclesiastes
2
), as do other works
by Voracek, but the paper does not seem entirely correct in its logic, and
reaches conclusions that might be more carefully posited. One problem
arises from the claim that “regional IQ estimates and suicide rates in Italy
were positively correlated” (Voracek, 2009, p. 1023); this claim is incorrect
since the author did not use estimates of aggregate IQ for Italy’s regions.
Secondly, it should be clearly stated that this correlation does not imply
causation: in Voracek’s analysis, signiicant covariates are omited, most
notoriously climatic diferences. An extension of the historical scope of
the investigation, including regional suicide rates as well as other indica-
tors for 1911, conirms that regional suicide rates are correlated not only
with education, but also with latitude and per capita GDP, while signii-
cance and causal links are hard to establish because of the small number
of observations.
Education and Intelligence in Italy’s Regions
Some confusion arises from the fact that Voracek’s article makes use of
data for education atainment from the 2006 Programme for Internation-
al Student Assessment (PISA), which are approximated as “intelligence,”
on the assumption that IQ and PISA are highly correlated. In Voracek’s
1
Address correspondence to Dr. Emanuele Felice, Department of Economics, University of
Siena, Piazza S. Francesco 7, 53100 Siena, Italy or e-mail (emanuele.felice@gmail.com).
2
In Schopenhauer’s words (1969/1818, p. 310): “The person in whom genius is to be found
sufers most of all.”