Echoes of the Malagasy Uprising:
Estimating Long-Term Effects of Political Repression
on Political Attitudes in Madagascar
Leonard WANTCHEKON
*
Denis Alexandre LAHINIRIKO
**
Omar GARCIA-PONCE
***
August 2009
Abstract
This paper examines the long-term effects of the repression of the Malagasy Uprising
(1947-1948) upon current political attitudes and behavior in Madagascar. Drawing
data from the most recent wave of the Afrobarometer (2008), we prove that the
legacy of violent political repression negatively affects Malagasies’ freedom of
speech, freedom of association, and freedom to vote. Likewise, exposure to this
legacy of repression positively influences self-censorship, and fear of political
hostility (intimidation, violence, and punishment). According to the regression
analysis, these traumatic consequences are strongly linked to the geography of the
repression. At a broader level, the results suggest that the scope and/or the intensity
of the repression matter. A comparison with the repression of the rebellion of Kaba
in Benin (1916-1917) suggests that both the geographic extension and the degree of
violence play a crucial role in determining the long-term effects of the repression.
1. Introduction
Political repression in its different manifestations has given rise to a large body of
research. A number of studies have examined state repression from a descriptive or
*
Professor of Politics, New York University.
**
Professor of History, Université d'Antananarivo.
***
Ph.D. Student, Department of Politics, New York University.