Feedforward neural networks in the
classification of financial information
CARLOS SERRANO-CINCA
Departamento de Contabilidad y Finanzas, Facultad de Ciencias Econ ´ omicas y
Empresariales, Universidad de Zaragoza, Gran V´ıa 2, 50005 Zaragoza, Spain
E-mail: serrano@posta.unizar.es
Financial research has given rise to numerous studies in which, on the basis of the
information provided by financial statements, companies are classified into different
groups. An example is that of the classification of companies into those that are solvent
and those that are insolvent. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and logistic regression
have been the most commonly used statistical models in this type of work. One
feedforward neural network, known as the multilayer perceptron (MLP), performs the
same task as LDA and logistic regression which, a priori, makes it appropriate for the
treatment of financial information. In this paper, a practical case based on data from
Spanish companies, shows, in an empirical form, the strengths and weaknesses of
feedforward neural networks. The desirability of carrying out an exploratory data
analysis of the financial ratios in order to study their statistical properties, with the aim
of achieving an appropriate model selection, is made clear.
Keywords: neural networks, multilayer perceptron, bankruptcy prediction, Spanish
banking system
1. INTRODUCTION
Since the pioneering work of Altman (1968), linear discriminant analysis (LDA)
has been the most commonly used statistical model in the prediction of
corporate failure. However, its application is hampered by a series of restrictive
assumptions and it suffers from a limited discriminatory power. Neural
networks have been proposed to complement or substitute for traditional
statistical models. White (1989), Cheng and Titterington (1994), Sarle (1994) and
Ripley (1994) provide much insight into the statistical components of neural
networks.
The multilayer perceptron (MLP) is one of the most well known and widely
used models of artificial neural networks. Gallinari et al. (1991) have demon-
strated the relationship between LDA and MLP. Bell et al. (1990), Hart (1992),
Yoon et al. (1993), Curram and Mingers (1994), Wilson and Sharda (1994) and
Altman et al. (1994) have compared the classifying power of different statistical
tools and of MLP. Feldman and Kingdon (1995) have surveyed some of the
research issues used in applying neural networks to real-world problems and
reviewed a number of neural network financial applications.
1351–847X © 1997 Chapman & Hall
The European Journal of Finance 3, 183–202 (1997)