From Marianthal to Latent Growth Mixture Modeling:
A Return to the Exploration of Individual Differences in Response
to Unemployment
Isaac R. Galatzer-Levy and
George A. Bonanno
Columbia University
Anthony D. Mancini
Pace University
Job-loss is a rapidly growing concern as we witness the greatest and most rapid
economic downturn in a century. The negative psychological effect of unemployment
has increasingly garnered attention. Previous literature has offered a formidable prog-
nosis, stating that in response to job-loss, people typically follow a pattern of rapid
decline in life satisfaction and never return to preunemployment levels. In this paper,
we attempt to search for individual differences in response to job-loss using Latent
Growth Mixture Modeling (LGMM) framework. By building homogeneous trajectories
within a prospective design from 3 years before to 4 years after job-loss, we find that
the majority of individuals (82%) demonstrate no long-term effects on life satisfaction
in response to unemployment. We also examine the roll of larger market forces on
levels of life satisfaction during and around the event of job-loss. Using a correlation
model, demonstrated that life satisfaction is positively influenced by the regional
unemployment rate. Clark (2003) argues that people report higher well-being when
they lose their job if those in proximity to them are also becoming unemployed. Using
the national and local unemployment rate in a regression model nested in the Latent
Growth Model, we found that a social comparison effect is present immediately before
unemployment but not once individuals became unemployed. This implies that people
reference national and local employment trends in an attempt to anticipate their own
course of employment rather than referencing those trends after job-loss.
Keywords: Latent Growth Mixture Modeling, unemployment, life satisfaction
Losing a job can be a profoundly distress-
ing event. As the United States and Western
Europe experience unemployment rates ap-
proaching double digits for the first time in
over 25 years, concern about unemployment
has become ubiquitous. Unemployment has
been shown to have a cost to the individual
beyond the purely monetary concern of a loss
in income. Nonpecuniary costs arise from un-
employment as individuals potentially lose
access to social relationships, identity in so-
ciety, self-esteem, and self-conception—all of
which can be garnered from employment. Ul-
timately, even after reemployment, productiv-
ity, self-conception, cognitive efficiency, and
attitudes toward work can continue to be af-
fected (Darity & Goldsmith, 1996; Winkel-
mann & Winkelmann, 1998). In this paper,
we investigate how unemployment, as well as
broader economic trends during and before
the event of unemployment, affects nonpecu-
niary costs.
A large body of literature argues that job-loss
has a profound and long lasting detrimental psy-
chological effect far beyond the generative effects
associated with loss of income. The “psychologi-
cal harm” of unemployment has been a long-
standing area of interest and empirical study. Us-
ing a sociological framework, Johoda, Lazarszfel,
and Zeisel (1933) studied the effects of unemploy-
ment in Marianthal, a small Viennese factory
town, 3 years after the closing of the local factory.
Isaac R. Galatzer-Levy and George A. Bonanno, Depart-
ment of Counseling and Clinical Psychology, Columbia
University; Anthony D. Mancini, Department of Psychol-
ogy, Pace University.
Correspondence concerning this article should be ad-
dressed to Isaac R. Galatzer-Levy, Columbia University,
Department of Counseling and Clinical Psychology, 525
West 120th St., Box 102, New York, NY 10027. E-mail:
irg2101@columbia.edu
Journal of Neuroscience, Psychology, and Economics © 2010 American Psychological Association
2010, Vol. 3, No. 2, 116 –125 1937-321X/10/$12.00 DOI: 10.1037/a0020077
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