Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 91(2), 2001, p. 307–337
© 2001 by Association of American Geographers
Published by Blackwell Publishers, 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, and 108 Cowley Road, Oxford, OX4 1JF, UK.
The Construction of Global Warming
and the Politics of Science
David Demeritt
Department of Geography, King’s College London
Having outlined a theory of heterogeneous social construction, this article describes the scientific construction of
climate change as a global-scale environmental problem caused by the universal physical properties of greenhouse
gases. Critics have noted that this reductionist formulation serves a variety of political purposes, but instrumental
and interest-based critiques of the use of scientific knowledge tend to ignore the ways in which a politics gets built
into science at the upstream end. By retracing the history of climate modeling and of several scientific controversies,
I unmask the tacit social and epistemic commitments implied by its specific practices. The specific scientific framing
of global climate change has reinforced and been reinforced by the technocratic inclinations of global climate man-
agement. The social organization of climate change science and its articulation with the political process raise im-
portant questions about trust, uncertainty, and expertise. The article concludes with a discussion of the political
brittleness of this dominant science-led and global-scale formulation of the climate change problem and the need for
a more reflexive politics of climate change and of scientific knowledge based on active trust. Key Words: climate
change, social constructionism, social studies of science.
n little more than a decade, global warming has been
transformed from an obscure technical concern into
a subject of widespread public anxiety and interna-
tional regulatory interest. Only a dozen years separate
the World Meteorological Organization’s 1985 Villach
conference, at which years of previous scientific research
and technical debate crystallized into one of the first
widely publicized warnings about an anthropogenically
enhanced greenhouse effect due to rising concentrations
of carbon dioxide (CO
2
) and other radiatively sensitive
greenhouse gases (GHGs), from the recent Kyoto Proto-
col to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC), at which politicians hammered
out a package of legally binding targets for reducing the
GHG emissions of industrialized countries. The speed with
which scientific knowledge of climate change has been
translated into an international diplomatic consensus is
remarkable, if not unprecedented. It is testimony to the
authority of science to provide legitimacy for political
action.
However, science cannot be given all the credit for
spurring the rapid political response to climate change.
The 1988 heat wave and drought in North America were
arguably as influential in fostering public concern as any
of the more formal scientific advice, such as NASA sci-
entist James Hansen’s infamous 1988 declaration to
Congress that he was “99 percent sure” that global warm-
ing was already happening (quoted in Ungar 1992, 491–
92; cf. Mazur and Lee 1993). The relationships among
the diverse expert and lay understandings of climate
change are complex, as are their connections to climate
change politics and policy-formation (Jasanoff and Wynne
1998).
A variety of powerful political interests served as mid-
wives to the birth in the mid- to late 1980s of climate
change as a pressing global environmental problem. Since
the leading cause of increasing atmospheric GHG con-
centrations is fossil fuel consumption, which is rapidly
increasing worldwide, the politics of climate change are
closely intertwined with the politics of energy (Boehmer-
Christiansen 1990; Levy and Egan 1998; Newell and
Paterson 1998; Rowlands 2000) and the politics of devel-
opment (Rajan 1997; Grubb, Vrolijk, and Brack 1999;
Sachs 1999).
Political analysis has focused primarily on the power-
ful interests competing to set climate change policy. Po-
litical scientists and geographers have charted the fate of
local climate change mitigation and energy conservation
initiatives (Hinchliffe 1996; Lambright, Changnon, and
Harvey 1996; Bulkeley 1997; Collier 1997) and intra-
state struggles to fashion coherent national energy and
environmental policy responses to global warming
(Hatch 1993; O’Riordan and Jäger 1996; Sewell 1996;
Pleune 1997; Rajan 1997). Students of international re-
lations have studied the geopolitics of negotiating inter-
national environmental agreements on climate change
(Hecht and Tirpak 1995; Rowlands 1995; Paterson 1996;
Yearley 1996; Grubb, Vrolijk, and Brack 1999). This
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