American Journal of Scientific Research
ISSN 2301-2005 Issue 66 (2012), pp. 151-161
© EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2012
http://www.eurojournals.com/ajsr.htm
The Effective Factors on Abnormal Errors in
Profit Forecast in Tehran Stock Exchange
Mehdi Vasei Chaharmahali
Department of Accounting, Islamic Azad University
Neyshabur Branch, Neyshabur, Iran
E-mail: Mehdi.vassei@gmail.com
Mahmood Mostafazadeh Mashadi
Department of Accounting, Islamic Azad University
Neyshabur Branch, Neyshabur, Iran
E-mail: mostafazadeh@aol.com
Zahra Ghasemi
Department of Accounting, Social Sciences & Economics Faculty
Alzahra University, Iran
E-mail: zghzghasemi@gmail.com
Zahra Abedi
Department of Accounting, Social Sciences & Economics Faculty
Alzahra University, Iran
E-mail: zahra.abedi@yahoo.com
Ahmad Abdollahi
Department of Accounting, Golestan Institute of Higher Education
Gorgan, Iran
E-mail: ahmabdollahi@gmail.com
Tel: +98-911-2710207; Fax: +98-171-6627322
Abstract
In recent years, many studies have been done on accuracy of profit forecast by the
management of an organization. In this research, the effects of seven variables; stock
exchange acceptance precedence, size of company, financial leverage, type of industry,
Return of Assets (ROA), auditor’s report and auditor’s nature (credibility) have been tested
against abnormal errors in profit forecast by managements of stock exchange accepted
companies. Taking into account the recession period in which this study has been done,
market index fluctuations have been considered as a controlling variable too. Using a
sample of 82 stock exchange accepted companies in 2004 to 2008, comprising of a set of
5740 data, the outcome shows that there is a significant relationship between stock
exchange acceptance precedence, Return Of Assets variables and abnormal error in profit
forecast; but no such relationship exists for other variables like size of company, financial
leverage, type of industry, auditor’s report and auditor’s credibility with abnormal error in
profit forecast.