Unifying or Polarizing?
775
Unifying or Polarizing? Short-Term Effects
and Postdebate Consequences
of Different Rhetorical Strategies
in Televised Debates
By Carsten Reinemann and Marcus Maurer
Despite a large body of research, little is known about the ways in which viewers
react to different kinds of statements during televised debates nor about the degree
to which these short-term reactions influence postdebate opinions. Taking the second
televised debate in the 2002 German national election as an example, we address
both of these questions. We identify the most unifying and polarizing statements
and connect immediate reactions during the debate to postdebate verdicts on an
individual level of analysis. Our results show that commonplaces and acclaims
met unanimous support among audience members with different political
predispositions. Attacks and statements in which the candidates presented factual
evidence or specified their political plans tended to polarize supporters of the
respective candidates. Moreover, short-term reactions had an independent impact
on postdebate verdicts even when political predispositions and expectations were
controlled.
Televised debates have become an important part of election campaigns in many
countries around the world (e.g., Coleman, 2000). In the United States and
elsewhere, televised debates reach a larger audience, generate greater media
coverage, and stimulate more discussion among citizens than any other single
campaign event. Effects of televised debates include immediate short-term reactions
to the candidates during a debate, verdicts about the performance of the debaters,
learning about candidate positions, agenda setting, changing candidate images,
and influencing voting behavior (e.g., McKinney & Carlin, 2004; Benoit et al.,
2003; Pfau, 2003; Racine Group, 2002).
Despite numerous empirical studies, some fundamental questions about the
effects of televised debates have remained unanswered. This is especially true for
Copyright © 2005 International Communication Association
Carsten Reinemann (PhD, University of Mainz) and Marcus Maurer (PhD, University of Mainz) are both
assistant professors at the University of Mainz.