The Time-Predictable Model of Earthquake Prediction: A Standard Tool for Hazard Prediction? Mrs. Savi V. Shende M.Sc. (Environmental Science), NET Lecturer, M. Patel Institute of Engineering & Technology, Gondia (M.S.) – 441 614 savivijayshende@rediffmail.com Devendra Pandey Assistant Professor, M. Patel Institute of Engineering & Technology, Gondia – 441 614 devpand_2000@yahoo.com Dr. Shailendra Singh Rathore Principal, M. Patel Institute of Engineering & Technology, Gondia – 441 614 www.ssrathore.com ________________________________________________________________________ Abstract: As with so many natural phenomena, earthquakes are the product of what scientists call "complex systems," or systems which are more than the sum of their parts. Not just speaking proverbially, but in truest ever sense, precise prediction of earthquakes has long been a question of Life & Death for the scared inhabitants of earthquake-prone areas and so is for the forecasters and scientists ranging from Nostradamus to Dr. Vladimir Kellis-Borok since last a few centuries. Though the experts still don’t know many of the details of the physical processes involved and how to predict these events, several prediction and chaos theories have been put forth with varying degrees of successes. In spite of the inherent complexities involved in such a complex system, the research is still on and on. The time-predictable model of earthquake prediction is based on the theory that earthquakes in fault zones are caused by the constant build-up and release of strain in the Earth's crust. This model has become a standard tool for hazard prediction in many earthquake-prone regions and, therefore, it is not surprising that the scientists in the United States and other Pacific Rim countries, such as Japan and New Zealand, routinely use this technique for long-range hazard assessments when adequate data are available. (1) Introduction: Exactly What is Earthquake Prediction? When humans wondered in early centuries why the Earth sometimes trembles, and yearned to predict these frightening disturbances for thousands of years, Ancient cultural explanations of earthquakes were often along the lines of the mythical Japanese Namazu: A giant catfish with the islands of Japan on his back. A demigod, or daimyojin, holds a heavy stone over his head to keep him from moving. Once in a while the daimyojin is distracted so Namazu moves and the Earth trembles. Earthquakes are more deadly than any other form of weather hazard [1] . They have killed 2.7 million people during the period of 1900 to 1976 [2] . In comparison 1.8 million people were killed by all natural disasters combined together, excluding earthquakes. Numerous forecasts and scientists earthquake predictions, ranging from Nostradamus [3] to Dr. Vladimir Kellis-Borok [4,5,6,7] , have been made since last a few centuries. Several prediction and chaos theories of earthquake predictions have been put forth with varying degrees of successes over the years including but not