Universal Journal of Marketing and Business Research (ISSN: 2315-5000) Vol. 2(2) pp. 035-043, May, 2013
Available online http://www.universalresearchjournals.org/ujmbr
Copyright © 2013 Transnational Research Journals
Full Length Research Paper
The impact of domestic gold price on stock price
indices-An empirical study of Indian stock exchanges
Amalendu Bhunia
1
and Somnath Mukhuti
2
1
Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, University of Kalyani, West Bengal, India
2
Research Scholar, Department. of Commerce, CMJ University Meghalaya
Accepted 29 April, 2013
The present research paper examines the impact of domestic gold price on stock price indices in India
for the period for the period from 2
nd
January, 1991 to 10
th
August, 2012 using appropriate statistics,
unit root test and Granger causality test. The domestic gold price in India is eternally escalating in
consequence of its intense domestic demand on account of protection, liquidity along with spreader
portfolio. It give the impression of being at the remarkable data brings to the plane that when the stock
market crumples or when the dollar worsens, gold prolongs to be a safe haven investment because
gold prices increase in such situations. The study is based on secondary data obtained from World
Gold Council database and BSE and NSE database. Unit root test indicates that time series are not
stationary at levels and the selected time series are stationary at 1st difference. Granger causality test
illustrate that no causality exists between nifty and gold price, gold price and sensex and nifty and
sensex and bidirectional causality exists between gold price and nifty, sensex and gold price and
sensex and nifty.
Keywords: Gold Price, Sensex, Nifty, India, Correlation, Multiple regression, ADF and PP unit root test,
Granger causality test
INTRODUCTION
The study of the capital market of a country in terms of a
wide range of macro-economic and financial variables
has been the area under discussion of many researches
during the last two decades. Empirical studies make
known that when financial deregulation comes to pass,
the stock markets of a country become more sensitive to
both domestic and peripheral factors and one of these
factors is the price of gold. Historical practices give an
idea about that in countries in period of stock market
slump, the gold for perpetuity trends higher (Neda
Bashiri, 2011). The domestic gold price in India is
continually ever-increasing on account of its heavy
domestic demand as a consequence of security, liquidity
and diversified portfolio. A look at the historic data brings
to the surface that when the stock market collapses or
when the dollar deteriorates, gold continues to be a safe
haven investment because gold prices rise in such
circumstances (Gaur and Bansal, 2010). This paper
*Corresponding author Email: bhunia.amalendu@gmail.com
explores the impact of domestic gold price on stock price
indices in India. In other words, the plan of this paper is to
observe the causal relationships between the gold price
and stock market in India.
Problem statement
The global economic disorder is expected to goad
improbability in gold prices that has already made it a
dodgy asset for investors. Investment demand will return
no more than when there are a few transparencies. Gold
prices have been on the mount for the past several
months and the hot-blooded state of affairs in global
markets had helped the precious metal to gain
handsomely. Conversely, the coming days will see huge
funds moving from gold to sensex and nifty. The
domestic gold prices have crowned in India for the first
time, breaks all time record. In view of that most stockists
are looking to smash their share of the precious metal, in
consequence pushing the prices skywards and no