Area (2006) 38.4, 390–401
ISSN 0004-0894 © The Authors.
Journal compilation © Royal Geographical Society (with The Institute of British Geographers) 2006
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Asking the right questions: environmental conflict
in the case of Azerbaijan
Shannon O’Lear and Angela Gray
Department of Geography, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045, USA
Email: olear@ku.edu
Revised manuscript received 19 July 2006
This paper contributes an empirical test of key themes of the literature on natural
resource conflict. Survey and interview data from an ongoing project in Azerbaijan
provide insights into an unexpected lack of conflict in Azerbaijan related to the
environment, resources and energy despite the predictions of resource conflict literature.
We contend that questions about public perceptions about the environment and other
daily concerns are critical if we are to understand who is likely (or unlikely) to be
involved in conflict and why. The data presented in this paper demonstrate that
Azerbaijani citizens rank environmental and resource issues among their immediate
concerns and their top concerns for the country. However, compared to other day-to-day
concerns such as the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and economic concerns, environment-
related concerns do not appear to be sufficient to motivate widespread violent conflict or
citizen dissent related to environmental or natural resource conditions.
Key words: Azerbaijan, Caucasus, resource conflict, energy, survey, interview
Introduction
This paper contributes an empirical investigation of
assumptions – both implicit and explicit – of
literature on environmental conflicts. Despite the
initial appeal of arguments that resource conditions
contribute to conflict, that literature is attracting
scrutiny on different fronts. The aim of this paper is
to demonstrate that although resource and conflict
variables may be correlated in large-N studies, the
focus of analysis of much of that literature omits
from consideration the importance of human concerns
and particularities of place. The contention here is
that the context of place matters if we are to build a
more thorough understanding of human–environment
relationships and develop appropriate policy measures
for managing these relationships. More than merely
considering the resource or environmental conditions
of a particular place, it is also necessary to assess
how social responses influence whether or not or
how conflict in its many forms might actually
emerge since humans – not resources – engage in or
avoid conflict. Our hypothesis is that even if there is
widespread concern about the environment or
resource-related issues in a particular place, any
form of violence or dissent over these issues may be
precluded if other day-to-day concerns eclipse
environmental concerns. Following a brief survey of
predominant strands of the environmental conflict
literature, this paper examines Azerbaijan as an
appropriate case study to illustrate why some of the
arguments linking resources and conflict do not
necessarily hold. Survey and interview data from an
ongoing project focused on citizen concerns and
priorities provide insights into an unexpected lack
of conflict in Azerbaijan related to the environment,
resources and energy despite predictions of resource
conflict literature.
Themes in resource conflict literature
In the growing literature on resource conflict, there
are different perspectives linking natural resources
and conflict. One segment of the literature points to