Stranger in a Strange Land: Thucydides’ Stasis and
the Arab Spring
Spyridon Nikolaou Litsas, PhD
University of Macedonia
Abstract
The article reviews the Arab Spring, projecting an alternative point of view.
Although it lies in the spectrum of international politics analysis, still it maintains
an internal approach regarding the Arab troubles. I support the idea that the Arab
Spring can be examined as a Stasis phenomenon, deriving from the Thucydidian
analysis. Nevertheless, while it is a phenomenon that affects the evolution of the
Islamic nucleus, it is also an international event that may turn into a large-scale
crisis for neighboring subsystems accordingly.
Fear grandeurs, O soul. And if you cannot overcome your ambitions,
pursue them with hesitation and caution. And the more you advance, the
more inquisitive, careful you must be.
And when you reach your peak, Caesar at last; when you assume the
form of a famous man, then above all beware when you go out in the
street, a conspicuous ruler with followers, if by chance from the mob
approaches some Artemidorus, bringing a letter and says hastily “Read
this immediately, these are grave matters that concern you,” do not fail to
stop; do not fail to push aside all those who salute and kneel (you can see
them later); let even the Senate itself wait, and immediately recognize the
grave writing of Artemidorus. (Constantine P. Cavafy, The Ides of March)
Introduction
T
here is little doubt that although totally unexpected, the Arab Spring was
neither a transient nor an accidental phenomenon. As almost every major
event, a series of revolts erupted within the Arabic nucleus because of a random
and unfortunate event. However, the primary cause was different. The Arab
Spring could be for Islam what the equivalent of the Thirty Years War, the
Westphalian Treaty or the American War of Independence and the French
Revolution are for the West. Hence, it is vital for the analysis to approach
the phenomenon as a still occurring and continuously evolving political condition
able to affect deeply the future course of Islam and of the international system as
well.
Digest of Middle East Studies—Volume 22, Number 2—Pages 361–376
© 2013 Policy Studies Organization. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.