Global Advanced Research Journal of Management and Business Studies (ISSN: 2315-5086) Vol. 3(9) pp. 423-431, September, 2014
Available online http://garj.org/garjmbs/index.htm
Copyright © 2014 Global Advanced Research Journals
Full Length Research Paper
Commercial Bank Credit and Sectoral Growth in Sub-
Saharan Africa: Evidence from Nigeria
Ajibola Joseph Olusegun
1
, Ishola Rufus Akintoye
2
, Samuel Olajide Dada
3
,
1
Babcock Business School, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria, West-Africa
joeoluajibola@yahoo.co.uk
2
Babcock Business School, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria, West-Africa
Irakintoye@yahoo.com
3
Babcock Business School, Babcock University, Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria, West-Africa
erinpe@yahoo.com
Accepted 19 September 2014
This paper reviewed the impact of commercial bank lending on Nigeria’s aggregate economic growth for
the period 1970-2011. It also reviewed the impact of commercial bank credit on the growth of Services and
‘Others’ sectors, their sub-sectors of transport/communication and public utilities; government and
personal/professionals respectively for the same period. The paper relied on the official sectoral
classification by the Central Bank of Nigeria and National Bureau of Statistics. Non-oil GDP was adopted as
a measure of both the aggregate and sectoral economic growth. The research work borrowed from the
theoretical underpinning of the role of commercial bank lending in economic growth based on the
combination of the quantity theory of money and aggregate production function. A regression analysis
was undertaken with a model that related the non-oil GDP as dependent variable to commercial bank credit
for current and one year lagged period as the independent variables. The linear regression model showed
that the previous year’s loans and advances to services sector had more positive impact on economic
growth compared with the current year’s loans and advances. The results show that both previous and
current year’s credit to ‘others’ sector had inverse relationship with economic growth. In terms of the sub-
sectors, the previous year’s credit to public utilities and transport/telecommunications sub-sectors showed
positive contributions to economic growth while the impact of that of current year was negative. From the
results therefore, banks need to monitor more closely their lending to these two sectors of the economy
who deal on intangibles. Monetary authorities also need to ensure tight regulations on lending to the
sectors to enable them play their roles of providing ancillary services to the real sectors of the economy
which ordinarily should be the drivers of the economy.
Keywords – Economic Growth, Non-oil GDP, Services Sector , Commercial Bank, Credit
INTRODUCTION
(Melanie, 2004) alluded to the salutary impact of a well
functioning financial system on the growth and
development of an economy. In performing the important
role of financial intermediation, banks move loanable
funds from surplus units to deficit units and also support
the economy by serving the credit needs of their