Kaczmarski Domestic Sources of Russia’s China Policy 3
Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 59, no. 2, March/April 2012, pp. 3–17.
© 2012 M.E. Sharpe, Inc. All rights reserved.
ISSN 1075–8216 / 2012 $9.50 + 0.00.
DOI 10.2753/PPC1075-8216590201
Despite a growing imbalance
of power, Russia continues to
strengthen its engagement with
China because key actors in
Russian domestic politics see
the bilateral relationship as an
opportunity rather than a threat.
Domestic Sources of Russia’s
China Policy
Marcin Kaczmarski
MARCIN KACZMARSKI is an expert at the Centre for Eastern
Studies (OSW), Warsaw, and assistant professor at the Institute of
International Relations, University of Warsaw.
R
USSIA’S policy toward China has been explained mainly
in terms of how Moscow responds to international
constraints and opportunities. Geopolitical considerations,
overarching pragmatism, great-power politics, and iden-
tity have been identified as the primary movers of policy
toward Beijing (Kuchins 2010, p. 33; Rozman 2010, pp.
28–29). Engagement with China has been interpreted as
an element of Russia’s attempts to counterbalance Western
dominance and to retain a supposed alternative (Kuchins
2010, pp. 35, 38; Lo 2008, pp. 43–44). Thus, structural
factors are given a primary role in shaping Russia’s policy
to the neglect of domestic politics (Bellacqua 2010a;
Lo 2008; Rozman 2010). This approach fits in with the
general reading of Russia’s foreign policy under Putin,
which is interpreted as autonomous and as close to the
rational actor model (Sakwa 2011). A complementary
approach locates the sources of Russia’s policy toward
China in Moscow’s limited options (Nojonen 2011). Close
relations with Beijing are interpreted as Russia’s only
possible way to protect itself “against a resurgent and
potentially aggressive China” (Lo 2008, p. 44). Internal
weakness—in particular, failure to develop the Russian
Far East—is also responsible for Moscow’s yielding to
Chinese demands and turning to Beijing (Blank 2001c, p.
4).
1
The official Kremlin position unanimously presents
Beijing as a major strategic partner, rejecting the notion
of China as a threat (Lo 2008, p. 69).
2
To quote Vladimir
Putin at a meeting in Valdai: “Foreign experts keep tell-
ing us about the threat from China. We are not worried
at all. . . . We should be afraid. We are not afraid” (JRL
2010). We should not take Putin’s remarks at face value,
but we should not simply ignore them either—especially