Article
European Journal of
International Relations
16(4) 687–709
© The Author(s) 2010
Reprints and permissions: sagepub.
co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav
DOI: 10.1177/1354066110366055
ejt.sagepub.com
Corresponding author:
Brent E. Sasley, Department of Political Science, University of Texas at Arlington, PO Box 19539,
Arlington, Texas, 76019, USA.
Email: bsasley@uta.edu
Affective attachments and
foreign policy: Israel and
the 1993 Oslo Accords
Brent E. Sasley
University of Texas at Arlington, USA
Abstract
Although the important role of emotions in decision-making has been highlighted in
the psychology, neural science, and decision research literatures, this conclusion has
not been widely adopted in foreign policy analysis and International Relations (IR). Of
the work that has been done, much of it has been focused on public perceptions and
the impact on foreign policy, but not on elites and the actual decisions of foreign policy.
This article seeks to address this imbalance by examining the role of one element of
emotion — affect — on key foreign policy decision-makers. It argues that the greater
the emotional attachment a leader has to an object, the less flexible she is in foreign
policy toward that object. The model is used to explain a critical puzzle in IR: Israel’s
decision to pursue and sign the 1993 Oslo Accords.
Keywords
affect, decision-making, emotion, foreign policy, Oslo Accords
Introduction
Do leaders have emotions? That is, are they subject to the same emotional processes that
members of the general population are? Intuitively one would think so — after all, we are
all human. In Political Science, emotions have recently been used to study public percep-
tions toward political objects and events in a domestic politics context (e.g., Clarke et al.,
2006; Marcus, 2000; Sniderman et al., 1991; Westen 2007). But our theoretical models in
International Relations (IR) and foreign policy analysis (FPA) almost never account for such
processes.
1
Two of the more recent and dynamic research projects on individuals in foreign
policy-making — prospect theory and poliheuristic theory — are both focused on cognitive
(or rational) processes.
2
In a recent textbook written for university students of FPA, less than
a handful of pages discuss the role of emotions on foreign policy decision-making; and there