Journal of Money, Investment and Banking
ISSN 1450-288X Issue 7 (2009)
© EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2009
http://www.eurojournals.com/finance.htm
The Impact of Macroeconomic Instability on the Banking Sector
Lending Behaviour in Nigeria
Somoye, Russell Olukayode Christopher
Associate Professor, Department of Banking and Finance
Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye
P.O Box 1140 Ijebu Ode , Nigeria
E-mail: olukayodesomoye@hotmail.com
Tel: + 234-8033335688
Ilo, Bamidele M
Department of Banking and Finance, Olabisi Onabanjo University
PMB 2002, Ago- Iwoye
E-mail: bamideleilo@yahoo.co.uk
Tel: + 234-80560085567
Abstract
This study aims primarily at investigating the impact of macroeconomic instability
on banking sector lending behaviour in Nigeria using data on commercial banks and
macroeconomic instability from 1986 to 2005. Our results under the Co-integration and
Vector Error Correction Modeling framework show that bank lending has a long-run
relationship with macroeconomic instability. The study therefore, recommends that while
banks should pay adequate attention to the consequences of their firm specific
characteristics in their lending activities both in the short-run and long-run, their worries
about macroeconomic instability should be limited to the long-run consequences on their
lending behaviour. It is also pertinent that appropriate measures be taken to curtail inflation
and sporadic money supply growth making banks become unfavourably disposed to
lending given the attendant negative consequences of loan curtailment on economic growth
in the long run.
JEL classification Codes: C52 E44, G21
Introduction
The are fundamental economic roles banks are expected to perform, especially that of acting as
financial intermediaries and facilitating the payment system for the purpose of ensuring an efficient
allocation of the deposits in their custody. Banks typically make out loans in order to generate income
and make the bulk of their income from the spread between lending and deposit rates relative to the
volume of loans granted. The volume of loans granted by a bank in a year may be a function of its
internal characteristics such as size, deposit base, liquidity, credit policy and other internal factors, all
of which may be said to fall though relatively, within the control of the bank. Though such policies are
internal, they, however, to a large extent mimic the general macroeconomic environment, such that the
general loan behaviours of most banks will be a reflection of the signals from the aggregate economy.