Journal of Computational Optimization in Economics and Finance ISSN: 1941-3971
Volume 5, Number 1 © Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
OPTIMUM CURRENCY AREAS
WITHIN THE US AND CANADA:
A DATA ANALYSIS APPROACH
Efthimia Chrysanthidou, Periklis Gogas,
and Theophilos Papadimitriou
ABSTRACT
Over the last few decades Robert Mundell’s theory (1963) of Optimum Currency
Areas (OCA) has attracted significant attention between researchers and policy makers
especially after the formation of the European Monetary Union and the debate over
whether the eurozone countries actually consist an OCA. In this paper, we take this
debate to the area that was originally the subject of Mundell’s motivation: the US and
Canada. We employ the methodology of Correspondence Analysis and Hierarchical
Cluster Analysis, in a sample of macroeconomic data from the fifty US states and the ten
Canadian provinces for 2009 in an effort to investigate whether the current currency split
between north (Canada) and south (the US) is an OCA or possibly another split may be
more appropriate.
Our results show that three OCAs are identified within US states and Canadian
provinces: one that includes regions of eastern US and Canada, one that includes regions
of central-eastern and eastern US and Canada and finally one with regions of western US
and Canada.
Keywords: Optimum Currency areas; Correspondence Analysis; Hierarchical Cluster
Analysis
1. INTRODUCTION
During the last decades there have been several attempts from different groups of
countries to adopt a common currency. The reason for this is that a monetary integration
would eliminate currency risk resulting in favorable conditions for trade and business within
the monetary union. This will result in increased efficiency by reducing hedging and
uncertainty costs and optimum factor allocation.
Corresponding Author: Theophilos Papadimitriou, Democritus University of Thrace, Int. Economic Relations and
Development Dept, Komotini Campus, 69100, Greece, Phone: +306976409712, fax: +302531039830, email:
papadimi@ierd.duth.gr web: http://www.ierd.duth.gr/en/index.php?cid=65andst=1