Ecological Indicators 48 (2015) 189–197
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Ecological Indicators
j o ur na l ho me page: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolind
Phenology and climate relationships in aspen (Populus tremuloides
Michx.) forest and woodland communities of southwestern Colorado
Gretchen A. Meier
a,∗
, Jesslyn F. Brown
b
, Ross J. Evelsizer
b
, James E. Vogelmann
b
a
Inuteq, Contractor to the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS), Earth Resources Observation and Science Center, Sioux Falls, SD 57198, United States
b
USGS, Earth Resources Observation and Science Center, Sioux Falls, SD 57198, United States
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 23 July 2013
Received in revised form 23 May 2014
Accepted 28 May 2014
Keywords:
Phenology, Trembling aspen
Populus tremuloides
Start of season
End of season
Remote sensing
a b s t r a c t
Trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) occurs over wide geographical, latitudinal, elevational,
and environmental gradients, making it a favorable candidate for a study of phenology and climate
relationships. Aspen forests and woodlands provide numerous ecosystem services, such as high pri-
mary productivity and biodiversity, retention and storage of environmental variables (precipitation,
temperature, snow–water equivalent) that affect the spring and fall phenology of the aspen woodland
communities of southwestern Colorado. We assessed the land surface phenology of aspen woodlands
using two phenology indices, start of season time (SOST) and end of season time (EOST), from the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS) database of conterminous U.S. phenological indicators over an 11-year time
period (2001–2011). These indicators were developed with 250 m resolution remotely sensed data from
the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer processed to highlight vegetation response. We
compiled data on SOST, EOST, elevation, precipitation, air temperature, and snow water equivalent (SWE)
for selected sites having more than 80% cover by aspen woodland communities. In the 11-year time frame
of our study, EOST had significant positive correlation with minimum fall temperature and significant
negative correlation with fall precipitation. SOST had a significant positive correlation with spring SWE
and spring maximum temperature.
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1. Introduction
Trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx. hereafter referred
to as aspen) dominated forest and woodland communities are
a prominent, unique and vital landscape feature throughout the
Rocky Mountains. These stands contain nearly twice the total nitro-
gen (N, NO
3
, and NH
4
) on a per unit basis, as adjacent conifer
stands (Buck and St. Clair, 2012), have greater structural diversity
(Debyle and Winokur, 1985) and contain the second highest species
diversity (after riparian communities) of any western U.S. vegeta-
tion type (McCullough et al., 2013). Aspen stands accumulate and
retain more snow and yield larger quantities of water down slope
for agriculture and municipal uses than do adjacent mixed-conifer
and conifer stands (LaMalfa and Ryle, 2008). The relatively higher
soil moisture makes aspen stands act as fire-breaks, and aspen are
less likely than other vegetation types to ignite from lightening fire
(Morelli and Carr, 2011).
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +01 6055942917; fax: +01 6055946529.
E-mail address: gmeier@usgs.gov (G.A. Meier).
Large patches of dead and declining aspen began appearing in
the southern Rocky Mountains in the late 1990’s, and consequently,
aspen population dynamics and mortality trends have become a
major concern (Worrall et al., 2008). This condition, called Sud-
den Aspen Decline (SAD), is characterized as a drought and disease
cycle, where terrain and edaphic features predispose stands to
decline, severe drought initiates decline, and finally, opportunistic
insects and pathogens cause extensive damage and frequent mor-
tality (Anderegg et al., 2012; Rehfeldt et al., 2009; Worrall et al.,
2008). Researchers have suggested that aspen is undergoing a range
contraction in the warmest, driest, and most southerly regions of
its distribution (Kuhn et al., 2011; Worrall et al., 2013; Zegler et al.,
2012). Aspen decline and mortality is largely attributed to drought
events and to the gradual warming and drying conditions brought
about by global climate change (Worrall et al., 2013).
The typical growing season for aspen occurring in the south-
ern Rocky Mountain begins with flower bud burst in April. Leaves
sprout in May and June and continue to appear through mid-
September, and leaf drop and senescence conclude the growing
season in mid-November. During the summer, stems lengthen and
new leaves appear until growth ceases in August or September. Bud
set is an important final phase, as it signals the end of the growing
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