Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis:Theory, Methods and Applications – Martorelletal.(eds)
© 2009Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-48513-5
Analysis of possibilities of timing dependencies modeling—Example
of logistic support system
J. Magott, T. Nowakowski, P. Skrobanek & S. Werbinska
Wroclaw University of Technology, Wroclaw, Poland
ABSTRACT: In the paper we consider the time dependent system of systems where the system total task must
be executed during the constrained time resource. To model the delay times of operational system maintenance
process performance, there is used Fault Trees with Time Dependency (FTTD) analysis. In the FTTD, events
and gates are characterized by time parameters, which are derived from the time characteristics of system of
systems’ processes performance. The FTTD analysis for calculations of proper value of time parameters for
system of systems will be shown in this approach.
1 INTRODUCTION
The main objective of any operational system is to
perform continuously its intended functions. Failure
of any working element affects the operational process
and adds costs for spare parts, labour and maintenance
materials. In addition to the losses on these accounts,
there is also a loss of profit margin caused by system
downtime.
Sufficient inventory level of spare parts has to be
maintained to keep the system in operating condition.
When the spare elements are under stocked, it may lead
to extended system downtime and, as a consequence,
have a negative impact on the system availability level.
On the other hand, maintenance of excessive spares
can lead to large inventory holding costs. Moreover,
the requirements for planning the logistics of spare
elements necessary in maintenance actions of opera-
tional systems differ from those of other materials in
several ways: the service requirements are higher, the
effects of stock-outs may be financially remarkable,
the demand for parts may be sporadic and difficult
to forecast, and the prices of individual parts may be
very high.
Consequently, one of the most important decisions
faced by maintenance managers is the determination
of optimal stocking levels which involves finding the
answer to the following questions, such that the total
expected inventory costs are minimized:
• When to (re)order?
• How many items to (re)order?
There is a plethora of models in the literature
on reliability theory regarding to the spares supply
process optimization. A significant portion of them
base on a classic inventory theory, where the pro-
curement process parameters are usually optimized
taking into account the cost constraints (see e.g.
Sarjusz-Wolski, 1998).
The surveys by Cho & Parlar (1991), Guide Jr &
Srivastava (1997), Kennedy et al. (2002), Nahmias
(1981), and Pierskalla & Voelker (1976) review the
growing body of literature on spare parts inventories
problem.
The stock level of spare parts is dependent on the
chosen maintenance policy. Therefore, maintenance
programs should be designed to reduce both, the main-
tenance and inventory related costs. As a result, the
problems of system performance optimization can be
solved by joint, rather than separate or sequential
approach to define the maintenance and inventory
policies.
Consequently, there is used a ‘‘system of sys-
tems’’ conception to model the interactions between
operational system and its logistic support system.
This conception is widely used in the defense sector,
where logistic processes are aimed at supporting the
warfighter/mission requirements.
According to the definition (Crossley, 2006),
the system of systems context arises when a need
or a set of needs are met with a mix of multiple
systems, each of which are capable of indepen-
dent operation but must interact with each other
in order to provide a given capability. More
information can be found in (Werbi´ nska, 2007a,
Werbi´ nska in prep.).
Moreover, when designing such real-time sys-
tems like logistic support of operational system per-
formance, the following time parameters: parts’
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