Anatomy of a Labour Landslide: The Constituency
System and the 1997 General Election
BY RON JOHNSTON, CHARLES PATTIE, DAVID ROSSITER,
DANNY DORLING, HELENA TUNSTALL AND IAIN MACALLISTER*
ONE noted characteristic of the UK electoral system is that a party's
percentage of the votes cast at a general election is usually substantially
different from the percentage of the seats that it wins in the House of
Commons. In general, parties with more than 30% of the votes get a
greater percentage than that of the seats and are over-represented,
whereas those with fewer votes are under-represented, in some cases
very substantially so, as has been the experience of the Liberal
Democrats over the last twenty-five years. There are some exceptions to
this generalisation, however; small parties whose votes are geograph-
ically concentrated in a few constituencies (such as Plaid Cymru and
several of the Northern Ireland parties) tend to get a number of MPs
consistent with their share of the vote; in 1951 and 1974 (February) the
party with most votes did not also get most seats; and then in 1997 the
Conservative Party won 30.7% of the votes cast but only 25% of the
seats.
It is generally appreciated that this bias in the translation of votes
into seats is created through the interaction of two geographies —the
geography of support for the parties and the geography of the map of
constituencies. The latter is overlaid on the former, which tends to be
very consistent in its structure over time, even if its relief varies as party
fortunes wax and wane. But can the bias be manipulated, by the parties
or other agents, to partisan ends? To answer that question, we first
define and then decompose the nature of bias in the UK electoral system
and then look at the most recent general election in detail.
Bias and the electoral system
Bias in electoral systems has been defined in a variety of ways. We
define it here as the difference between the number of seats won at an
election by two main parties if the only change were in their relative
shares of the votes cast. For example, in 1997, Labour won 43.2% of
the votes cast in the UK and obtained 419 seats in the House of
Commons, whereas the Conservative Party won 30.7% of the votes,
* The authors arc respectively Professor of Geography, University of Bristol; Senior Lecturer in
Geography, University of Sheffield; Research Fellow in Geography, University of Bristol; Lecturer in
Geography, University of Bristol; Research Assistant in Geography, University of Bristol; and Research
Assistant m Geography, University of Bristol.
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