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Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity in Eastern and Southern
African Countries: Evidence from panel data stationary tests
with multiple structural breaks
Jean-François HOARAU
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(CERESUR, University of La Reunion, FRANCE)
Abstract. The panel data stationary test with multiple structural breaks developed
by Carrion-i-Silvestre, Del Barrio-Castro and Lopez-Bazo (Econometrics Journal,
2005) is used to study the Purchasing Power Parity in a set of 17 Eastern and
Southern African economies for the period 1970-2007. This latter is considered
both in its traditional view, i.e. the reversion of the real exchange rate to a
constant mean, and in the Balassa-Samelson view, i.e. the reversion of the real
exchange rate to a constant trend. The results indicate that taking into account the
presence of structural breaks changes dramatically the conclusion about long-run
Purchasing Power Parity. Indeed, in contrast with standard stationary tests, our
study shows that Purchasing Power Parity holds in the long-run for our panel
when the Balassa-Samuelson version is considered.
Keywords: Panel data, PPP, real exchange rate, structural breaks, Africa
JEL classification: C23, F31
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Corresponding author: Faculty of Law and Economics, University of La Reunion, 15 Avenue René Cassin
97715 Saint-Denis Messag Cedex 9, La Reunion, FRANCE; fax: +262 262 93 84 72; E-mail: jfhoarau@univ-
reunion.fr .