Storm surge risk perception and resilience: A pilot study in the
German North Sea coast
Pino Gonz
alez-Riancho
a, *
, Birgit Gerkensmeier
b
, Beate M.W. Ratter
b
,
Mauricio Gonz
alez
a
, Raúl Medina
a
a
Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IH Cantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria, C/Isabel Torres n
15, Parque Científico y Tecnol ogico de Cantabria,
39011 Santander, Spain
b
Institute of Coastal Research, Department of Human Dimensions of Coastal Areas, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Max-Planck-Straße 1,
21502 Geesthacht, Germany
article info
Article history:
Received 26 September 2014
Received in revised form
4 May 2015
Accepted 6 May 2015
Available online
Keywords:
Resilience
Storm surge
Flooding
Risk perception
Preparedness
Stakeholders
Survey
Risk management
Adaptation policies
German North Sea coast
abstract
Resilience is defined as the capacity of a community to organise itself before, during and after a dangerous/
hazardous event in order to minimise the impacts. A conceptual framework is proposed to assess the
resilience of a community by understanding and integrating the institutional, legal and social capacities to
cope and recover from a natural hazardous event in order to minimize the impacts in the short-term and to
adapt to the risk in the long-term. A survey-based method and a specific resilience questionnaire is proposed
to explore the perception of stakeholders regarding the risk and emergency management processes as well as
psychological and social factors conditioning individual and community preparedness. The method is
applied in a pilot area (the Dithmarschen district in the German North Sea Coast) for its validation before
applying it to the entire Wadden Sea region, the pilot results being presented in this work. Although some
questions may need some type of adaptation to fit adequately to other study sites, the conceptual and
methodological framework could be applied worldwide. The study area and its population are characterized
by their continuous interaction with the ocean, with the continuous transformation and reclamation of land
for agricultural and other purposes, the constant reshaping of the coastline and frequent coastal inundation
by storm surge flooding. The assessment allows identifying the main characteristics of the study area in terms
of stakeholders' risk perception, intention to prepare, individual and societal behavioural patterns, as well as
their opinion regarding authorities' decision-making on emergency and risk management. It also addresses
potential improvement in emergency and risk management in terms of multi-sector partnerships and
additional adaptation measures for the area. The deficiencies and incoherencies between society's and ad-
ministration's answers detected in the analysis point towards the challenges to deal with, in order to foster an
adequate community preparedness and adaptation to storm surge risk. Some of the results that the proposed
method permitted to obtain in the study area show (i) the need for a better information strategy to enhance
society's awareness and preparedness; (ii) the respondents' current proactive behaviour and preference on
participatory risk management options, despite fully participatory schemes are not yet set by the authorities;
(iii) the need for awareness campaigns regarding the relevance and benefits of the integrated approach in
potential partnerships, and (iv) the need for tailored and site-specific adaptation instruments and measures
due to the current society's disagreement with some of the options currently provided. The results are useful
to improve risk reduction initiatives by means of including society's opinions from the beginning of the
management process.
© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Resilience is defined as the ability of a system, community or
society exposed to hazards to resist, absorb, accommodate to and
recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient
manner, including the preservation and restoration of its essential
basic structures and functions (UN/ISDR, 2009). Cutter et al. (2008)
defines resilience as the degree to which the community has the
necessary resources and is capable of absorbing disturbance and
reorganising into a fully functioning system. This refers to the ca-
pacity of a community to organise itself before, during and after the
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: grianchop@unican.es (P. Gonz alez-Riancho).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Ocean & Coastal Management
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ocecoaman
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.05.004
0964-5691/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Ocean & Coastal Management 112 (2015) 44e60