J. DRUG EDUCATION, Vol. 39(4) 419-437, 2009 DETERRENCE THEORY AND THE ROLE OF SHAME IN PROJECTED OFFENDING OF COLLEGE STUDENTS AGAINST A BAN ON ALCOHOL MARGARET S. KELLEY, PH.D. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign MIYUKI FUKUSHIMA, PH.D. Cleveland State University ANDREW L. SPIVAK, PH.D. University of Nevada, Las Vegas DAVID PAYNE, MA University of Oklahoma, Norman ABSTRACT In the present study we advance previous research in deterrence theory by examining the perceived deterrent effects of a newly instituted dry policy on a college campus. A survey of 500 full-time undergraduate students between the ages of 18 and 26 was conducted 3 months following the ban on alcohol. Hypotheses are derived from deterrence theory and focus on both formal and informal sanctions as they predict projected offend- ing. Findings indicate that perceived severity of the sanction does not predict deterrence against future policy violations. However, the informal deterrent of shame does lower projected offending. While these results suggest that a formal dry policy is not likely to deter future problem drinking behaviors among these college students, reductions may be achieved with the use of informal sanctions and the incorporation of principles from reintegrative shaming theory. 419 Ó 2009, Baywood Publishing Co., Inc. doi: 10.2190/DE.39.4.e http://baywood.com