Rotation, Lottery and Majority Rule: A Reply to
the Critics
*
ROBERT E. GOODIN AND CHIARA LEPORA
DOUBTLESS there are myriad practical prob-
lems to be solved in implementing our pro-
posal for institutionalising rotation in office.
Some of them might be subject to general
constitutional engineering solutions. If policy
stability is a worry, for example, the constitu-
tion might require a supermajority to repeal
recently enacted legislation (a four-fifths
majority to repeal it in the first year, perhaps,
a three-quarters majority in the second year,
a two-thirds majority in the third year).
1
Some of the problems are probably best just
lived with. If we want stability in education
policy for a generation or more, for example,
that ought to be achieved through inter-party
consensus rather than constitutionally ensur-
ing any one party’s tenure in office for that
long.
2
Most of the practical problems, how-
ever, probably admit of no general resolution
but rather depend heavily on particularities
of the place in question.
In any case, recall that a raft of pressing
issues of a purely pragmatic sort inevitably
arises in implementing any broadly demo-
cratic procedures in the sorts of societies
with which our proposal is concerned. Point-
ing to practical difficulties with any one
solution in no way resolves the question of
which of the several alternative solutions has
more practical merits, on balance.
Where the greater weight of practical rea-
son lies is, thus, best left as an open question
to be resolved on a case-by-case basis. Here
we will merely add a few brief remarks on
the comparative merits of the main alterna-
tives, from a principled point of view.
Lotteries
3
The prime virtue of a system for deciding
who rules via a lottery is that it gives every-
one ex ante an equal chance of being the one
to rule. There is fairness in that, which is
certainly attractive.
4
Notice, however, that it is more attractive
from an ex ante perspective than from an
ex post one. Ex post, what sort of reason can
you give the losers for excluding them from
office, except ‘the coin came up heads’? And
they can well be forgiven for asking, ‘What
kind of reason is that?’ In the days when it
was thought that there was a god’s hand
that decided the coin toss, there might have
been an answer (even if the god’s reasons
were unfathomable to us mere mortals). But
nowadays, when it is seen as pure dumb
luck which way the coin came down, there
is no reason whatsoever—and, indeed, it’s in
the nature of genuinely random processes
that there is not and cannot be. That seems
deeply disturbing. It seems unlikely to be
accepted, as a way of deciding anything so
deeply consequential as who gets to rule
over others.
It does so, particularly, given that a better
alternative is available. Rotation in office
gives us the same ex ante equality of chances
—while at the same time giving us ex post
equality of outcomes over time as well. A
lottery is a good way of respecting people’s
equal claims in situations where dividing the
thing in question equally is not an option.
But ‘time in office’ is not like that. Over
time, time in office can be divided equally,
via for example a system of rotation in
office. In those circumstances, there is no
need to resort to second-best ways of
honouring equal claims ex ante, through a
lottery for example. They can be fully
honoured ex post instead—which is of course
the way that equal claims should ideally be
honoured, wherever we can.
The Political Quarterly, Vol. 86, No. 4, October–December 2015
© The Authors 2015. The Political Quarterly © The Political Quarterly Publishing Co. Ltd. 2015
472 Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford OX4 2DQ, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA