Ecological Modelling, 70 (1993) 63-87 63
Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam
ECOLECON" An ECOLogical-ECONomic model
for species conservation in complex
forest landscapes
Jianguo Liu
Institute of Ecology, Unicersity of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA
(Received 3 July 1992; accepted 3 December 1992)
ABSTRACT
Liu, J., 1993. ECOLECON: An ECOLogical-ECONomic model for species conservation in
complex forest landscapes. Ecol. Modelling, 70: 63-87.
An ECOLogical-ECONomic model (ECOLECON) has been developed to simulate
animal population dynamics and economic revenues in response to different forest land-
scape structure and timber management scenarios. ECOLECON is a spatially-explicit,
individual-based, and object-oriented program. It is coded in Borland C + + 2.0 and
contains 14 classes or subclasses of ecological and economic information which are hierar-
chically interlinked. ECOLECON can generate artificial forest landscapes or can link with
geographic information systems (GIS) to run simulations on real landscapes. The model
predicts population dynamics, spatial distribution, extinction probability of a species under
consideration as well as future landscape structure, and economic income from timber
harvest based on current tax and timber market situation. The model outputs provide
valuable information for balancing the conflicts between the generation of economic
revenues and the conservation of endangered species. Because ECOLECON is interactive
and easy to use, it is a useful tool for both research and education. This paper introduces
the methods of model development, presents the model structure, demonstrates a sample
simulation using the model, and discusses the validation and utilities of the model as well as
means to expand the model in the future.
1. INTRODUCTION
Conservation of endangered and threatened species has recently become
a high priority for many scientists, politicians and ordinary citizens through-
out the world (Council on Environmental Quality and U.S. Department of
State, 1980; Soul6, 1986; Office of Technology Assessment, 1987; Shaffer
and Saterson, 1987; World Commission on Environment and Development,
Correspondence to (present address): J. Liu, Harvard Institute for International Develop-
ment, Harvard University, 1 Eliot Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
0304-3800/93/$06.00 © 1993 - Elsevier Science Publishers B.V. All rights reserved