Are Experts Forward Thinking? Expertise as a Criterion for Selecting an Equilibrium Refinement Concept Gideon Saar 1 This Version: July 2000 1 Stern School of Business, New York University, 44 West Fourth Street, Suite 9-93, New York, NY 10012-1126. Tel: 212-998-0318. Fax: 212-995-4233. email: gsaar@stern.nyu.edu. I wish to thank Robert Bloomfield, Larry Blume, David Easley, Vrinda Kadiyali, Maureen O’Hara, William Schulze and Lisa Schwartz for their helpful comments.