Reconciling precipitation with runoff: observed hydrological change in the 1 mid-latitudes 2 Joe M. Osborne ∗ 3 College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom 4 5 F. Hugo Lambert 6 College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom 7 8 Margriet Groenendijk 9 College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom 10 Anna B. Harper 11 College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom 12 13 Charles D. Koven 14 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 15 Benjamin Poulter 16 Department of Ecology, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana 17 Generated using v4.3.2 of the AMS L A T E X template 1