Building Confidence intervals for the Band-Pass and Hodrick-Prescott Filters: An Application using Bootstrapping * Francisco A. Gallego Christian A. Johnson December 2002 Abstract This article generates innovative confidence intervals for two of the most popular de-trending methods: the Hodrick-Prescott and Band-Pass filters. The confidence intervals are obtained using block-bootstrapping techniques for dependent data. As an example, we present GDP trend growth and output gap intervals for the G7 economies. This new concept can improve the utility and applications of these filters by overcoming on the most cited limitations: not having confidence intervals. Keywords: Hodrick-Prescott Filter, Band-Pass Filter, Output Gap, Block Bootstrapping JEL classification: C15, C22, E32 * We thank Rómulo Chumacero and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel for helpful comments. This paper was written while both authors were affiliated with the Central Bank of Chile. Corresponding author, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA. E-mail: fgallego@mit.edu Business School, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Santiago, Chile. E-mail: chjohnson@uai.cl