Predictive validity despite social
desirability: evidence for the
robustness of self-report among
offenders
JEREMY F. MILLS
1
, WAGDY LOZA
2
AND DARYL G. KRONER
3
,
1
Bath
Instit ution, Bath, Canada and Carleton Uni versit y, Ottawa, Canada;
Kingston Penitentiar y, Kingston, Canada;
2
Uni v ersities of Carleton
(Psychology) and Queen’s (Psychiatry), Canada;
3
Pittsburgh Institution,
Pittsburgh, Ontario, Canada
ABSTRACT
Introduction Many professionals believe that self-report questionnaires used to
predict recidivism have a low validity. The aim of the present study was to investigate
the assumption that the validity of self-report is vulnerable to self-presentation biases
in offender samples.
Method The participants consisted of 124 male offenders who volunteered to
complete the Self-Appraisal Questionnaire (SAQ).
Results Lower scores on measures of social desirability were significantly associated
with higher levels of risk (as measured by self-report and a rated actuarial instrument)
and a higher likelihood to re-offend. Further, stepwise regression analysis revealed
that social desirability added significantly unique variance in the prediction of violent
recidivism.
Discussion The authors propose that impression management may be an enduring
person-based characteristic within an offender sample rather than a situationally
determined response style. The variance associated with this characterological infor-
mation is proposed to be the source of the unique predictive variance.
Introduction
Many forensic/correctional professionals believe that self-report questionnaires
are either not valid when used to predict offender recidivism or that they have
inferior validity as compared to professionally rated measures (Kroner and
Loza, 2001). Specific concerns regarding self-report measures are their vulnera-
bilit y to l y ing, manip u lation and self-presentation biases. The lack of
confidence in self-report measures in predicting recidivism may be the result of
a generali z ation of poor res ults obtained from research projects using the
140 Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health, 13, 140–150 2003 © Whurr Publishers Ltd