Judy-Anne W Chapman, Kathleen I Pritchard, Paul E Goss, James N Ingle, Hyman B Muss, Susan F Dent,
Ted A Vandenberg, Brian Findlay, Karen A Gelmon, Carolyn F Wilson, Lois E Shepherd, Michael N Pollak
Judy-Anne W Chapman, NCIC Clinical Trials Group, Queen’s
University, Kingston, ON, K7L 3N6, Canada
Kathleen I Pritchard, Sunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre, Uni-
versity of Toronto, Toronto, ON, M4N 3M5, Canada
Paul E Goss, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Univer-
sity, Boston, MA 02114, United States
James N Ingle, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55902, United
States
Hyman B Muss, Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center at
the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, N C
27514, United States
Susan F Dent, Ottawa Hospital Cancer Center, University of
Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, K1H 8L6, Canada
Ted A Vandenberg, London Health Sciences Centre, University
of Western Ontario, London, ON, N6G 2V4, Canada
Brian Findlay, Niagara Health System, McMaster University, St.
Catharines, ON, L2R 2Z4, Canada
Karen A Gelmon, BC Cancer Agency, University of British Co-
lumbia, Vancouver, BC, V5Z 1L3, Canada
Carolyn F Wilson, Lois E Shepherd, NCIC Clinical Trials
Group, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, K7L 3N6, Canada
Michael N Pollak, Lady Davis Institute, Jewish General Hospi-
tal, McGill University, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
Author contributions: Chapman JAW designed the research;
Goss PE, Ingle JN, Muss HB, Shepherd LE and Pollak MN con-
tributed to conception; Pritchard KI, Goss PE, Dent SF, Vanden-
berg TA, Findlay B, Gelmon KA, Wilson CF, Shepherd LE and
Pollak MN contributed to data; Chapman JAW analyzed the data;
Chapman JAW drafted the article with critical content review
and revision by all other authors; all authors approved the version
submitted for publication.
Supported by the Canadian Cancer Society through a grant to
the NCIC Clinical Trials Group from the Canadian Cancer Soci-
ety Research Institute; Novartis provided the NCIC CTG MA.14
drug octreotide LAR
Correspondence to: Judy-Anne W Chapman, PhD, Senior
Biostatistician, NCIC Clinical Trials Group, Queen’s University,
10 Stuart Street, Kingston, ON, K7L 3N6,
Canada. jchapman@ctg.queensu.ca
Telephone: +1-613-5336430 Fax: +1-613-5332941
Received: December 22, 2013 Revised: April 30, 2014
Accepted: July 12, 2014
Published online: December 10, 2014
Abstract
AIM: To show a new paradigm of simultaneously
testing whether breast cancer therapies impact other
causes of death.
METHODS: MA.14 allocated 667 postmenopausal
women to 5 years of tamoxifen 20 mg/daily ± 2 years
of octreotide 90 mg, given by depot intramuscular
injections monthly. Event-free survival was the pri-
mary endpoint of MA.14; at median 7.9 years, the
tamoxifen+octreotide and tamoxifen arms had similar
event-free survival ( P = 0.62). Overall survival was a
secondary endpoint, and the two trial arms also had
similar overall survival ( P = 0.86). We used the median
9.8 years follow-up to examine by intention-to-treat,
the multivariate time-to-breast cancer-specific (BrCa)
and other cause (OC) mortality with log-normal survival
analysis adjusted by treatment and stratification fac-
tors. We tested whether baseline factors including In-
sulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), IGF binding protein-3,
C-peptide, body mass index, and 25-OH vitamin D were
associated with (1) all cause mortality, and if so; and (2)
cause-speciic mortality. We also it step-wise forward
cause-speciic adjusted models.
RESULTS: The analyses were performed on 329
patients allocated tamoxifen and 329 allocated
tamoxifen+octreotide. The median age of MA.14 pa-
tients was 60.1 years: 447 (82%) < 70 years and
120 (18%) ≥ 70 years. There were 170 deaths: 106
(62.3%) BrCa; 55 (32.4%) OC, of which 24 were other
malignancies, 31 other causes of death; 9 (5.3%) pa-
tients with unknown cause of death were excluded
from competing risk assessments. BrCa and OC deaths
were not signiicantly different by treatment arm ( P =
0.40): tamoxifen patients experienced 50 BrCa and 32
OC deaths, while tamoxifen + octreotide patients ex-
perienced 56 BrCa and 23 OC deaths. Proportionately
more deaths ( P = 0.004) were from BrCa for patients
RETROSPECTIVE STUDY
Competing risks of death in younger and older
postmenopausal breast cancer patients
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DOI: 10.5306/wjco.v5.i5.1088
World J Clin Oncol 2014 December 10; 5(5): 1088-1096
ISSN 2218-4333 (online)
© 2014 Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World Journal of
Clinical Oncology
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1088 December 10, 2014|Volume 5|Issue 5| WJCO|www.wjgnet.com