RAPORTTEJA RAPPORTER REPORTS 2011:9 Probabilities of adverse weather affecting transport in Europe: climatology and scenarios up to the 2050s Andrea Vajda 1 Heikki Tuomenvirta 1 Pauli Jokinen 1 Anna Luomaranta 1 Lasse Makkonen 2 Maria Tikanmäki 2 Pieter Groenemeijer 3 Pirkko Saarikivi 4 Silas Michaelides 5 Matheos Papadakis 5 Filippos Tymvios 5 Spyros Athanasatos 5 1 Finnish Meteorological Institute, 2 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, 3 European Severe Storm Laboratory, 4 Foreca, 5 Cyprus Meteorological Service 551.583.16 (4), 551.578.45, 551.591, 551.577.37, 551.575, 551.551.553.6, 551.524.36, 551.515.3, 551.581.2 Ilmatieteen laitos Meteorologiska Institutet Finnish Meteorological Institute Helsinki 2011