ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Validation of the Computerized Suicide Risk Scale – a
backpropagation neural network instrument (CSRS-BP)
I. Modai
1
*, M. Ritsner
1
, R. Kurs
1
, S. Mendel
2
, A. Ponizovsky
2
1
Sha’ar Menashe Mental Health Center, Research Institute for Psychiatric Studies, Bruce Rappaport Faculty of
Medicine, Technion, Haifa, Israel;
2
Rebecca Meirhoff Technical School, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
(Received 30 March 2000; revised 9 May 2001; accepted 20 June 2001)
Summary – Background. Medicallyserioussuicideattemptshavebeenrecognizedasthemostimportantpredictorof
suicide.TheComputerizedSuicideRiskScalebasedonbackpropagationneuralnetworks(CSRS-BP)hasbeenrecently
found efficient in the detection of records of patients who performed medically serious suicide attempts (MSSA).
Objectives. TovalidatetheCSRS-BPby:1)usingtheCSRS-BPwithpatientsinsteadofrecords;2)comparingtheability
of expert psychiatrists to detect MSSA, using the CSRS checklist; and 3) comparing the results of the Risk Estimator for
Suicide (RES) and the self-rating Suicide Risk Scale (SRS) with the CSRS-BP. Methods. Two hundred fifty psychiatric
inpatients (35 MSSA and 215 non-MSSA) were diagnosed by clinicians using the SCID DSM-IV. Three expert
psychiatrists completed the CSRS checklist, and the RES for each patient, and the patients completed the self-report
SRS assessment scale. The CSRS-BP was run for each patient. Five other expert psychiatrists assessed the CSRS
checklists and estimated the probability of MSSA for each patient. Comparisons of sensitivity and specificity rates
between CSRS-BP, assessment scales and experts were done. Results. Initially, the CSRS-BP, RES, SRS, and experts
performed poorly. Although sensitivity and specificity rates significantly improved (two to four times) after the inclusion
ofinformationregardingthenumberofprevioussuicideattemptsintheinputdataset,resultsstillremainedinsignificant.
Conclusions. TheCSRS-BP,whichwasverysuccessfulinthedetectionofMSSApatientrecords,failedtodetectMSSA
patients in face-to-face interviews. Information regarding previous suicide attempts is an important MSSA predictor, but
remains insufficient for the detection of MSSA in individual patients. The detection rate of the SRS and RES scales was
also poor and could therefore not identify MSSA patients or be used to validate the CSRS-BP. © 2002 Éditions
scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS
CSRS / MSSA detection / RES / SRS
INTRODUCTION
In the past few decades, numerous scales for assessing
and predicting suicide have been developed for clinical
and research use. Most widely used are the Scale for
Assessing Suicide Risk (SARS) [30], Los Angeles Sui-
cide Prevention Center Scale (LASPC) [3], Suicide
Intent Scale (SIS) [3], Suicide Death Prediction Scale
(SDPS) [3], Index of Potential Suicide (IPS) [33],
Estimator for Suicide Risk (ESR) [25], and Suicide
Risk Scale (SRS) [26]. In a review study [22], the SDPS
and the ESR were considered the most accurate in
predicting individual suicide outcome in a small biased
sample of five clinical cases.
*Correspondence and reprints.
E-mail address: shrmodai@matat.health.gov.il (I. Modai).
Eur Psychiatry 2002 ; 17 : 75-81
© 2002 Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved
S0924933802006314/FLA