.................................................................
Plateau `pop-up' in the great 1897
Assam earthquake
Roger Bilham*² & Philip England²
* CIRES & Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder,
Colorado 80309-0399, USA
² Earth Sciences, Oxford University, Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PR, UK
..............................................................................................................................................
The great Assam earthquake of 12 June 1897 reduced to rubble all
masonry buildings within a region of northeastern India roughly
the size of England, and was felt over an area exceeding that of the
great 1755 Lisbon earthquake
1
. Hitherto it was believed that
rupture occurred on a north-dipping Himalayan thrust fault
propagating south of Bhutan
2±5
. But here we show that the
northern edge of the Shillong plateau rose violently by at least
11 m during the Assam earthquake, and that this was due to the
rupture of a buried reverse fault approximately 110 km in length
and dipping steeply away from the Himalaya. The stress drop
implied by the rupture geometry and the prodigious fault slip of
18 6 7 m explains epicentral accelerations observed to exceed 1g
vertically and surface velocities exceeding 3 m s
-1
(ref. 1). This
quantitative observation of active deformation of a `pop-up'
structure con®rms that faults bounding such structures can
penetrate the whole crust. Plateau uplift in the past 2±5 million
years has caused the Indian plate to contract locally by
4 6 2 mm yr
2 1
, reducing seismic risk in Bhutan but increasing
the risk in northern Bangladesh.
Central to our analysis are the long-neglected survey reports of
Bond
6
who located and remeasured the original points of the 1862
trigonometrical survey across the Shillong plateau. Despite the
discovery, under appalling conditions, of 8 m of uplift and 4 m of
displacement of parts of this plateau, his results were dismissed
7
,
because they failed to meet the triangle closure standards of the
Survey of India. Bond, and later Oldham
1
, who attempted to
interpret the data, suspected that closure errors were caused by
continuing movements following the mainshock, an idea that was
many years ahead of its time. Oldham, noting the existence of a
northward increasing strain gradient in Bond's data, recommended
remeasurement of a survey along the northern edge of the plateau,
but this was not to occur until 1936
8
(Fig. 1). These northern
measurements had a mean error typical of Survey of India accura-
cies (3.3 mrad), but did not overlap the earlier re-survey and, as in
Bond's survey, included neither scale nor azimuth constraints.
The results of the surveys are available as the locations of points
7,9
with their apparent post-seismic displacements, calculated holding
®xed two points within each network
1,6,8,10
. We seek the values of
these parameters that best ®t the observed angle changes. The
absence of scale and orientation information permits only the
analysis of angular changes
11,10
, which we derive from these pub-
lished data. We treat the angular changes as though they re¯ect
deformation of an elastic half-space, distorted by slip on a single
rectangular plane representing the 1897 earthquake. In doing
this, we neglect deformation caused by other earthquakes between
1860±69 and 1897 and by post-seismic deformation before the
re-surveys.
The surface distortion caused by slip on a buried dislocation can
be calculated from nine parameters that describe its geometry and
slip
12
. The problem is suf®ciently nonlinear that many local minima
exist; we therefore sought a global minimum by systematically
searching parameter space. Results of this search are contoured in
Fig. 2b. The best-®tting solution, in the sense of minimizing the
mis®ts to the angular changes normalized by their uncertainties,
corresponds to a slip of 16 m on a fault plane striking ESE for
110 km and dipping SSW at 578 beneath the northern edge of the
plateau (Fig. 2); slip on the plane extends from 9 to 45 km beneath
the surface, with a rake of 768.
Several features of the solution are unexpected. First, all previous
studies favoured slip on a plane dipping northwards from the south
of the plateau. Furthermore, the extension of the rupture plane to
letters to nature
806 NATURE | VOL 410 | 12 APRIL 2001 | www.nature.com
0 500 km
Bay of Bengal
Shillong
Dhaka
Bhutan
Assam
Indo-
Burman
Ranges
India
Tibet
1885
1905
1803
1833
1934
1950
II
II
II
IX
X
Figure 1 Area shaken by the great 1897 Assam earthquake, and location of major
Himalayan ruptures in the past 200 years
30
. Masonry structures were damaged within
Oldham's
1
intensity IX contour (orange), and destroyed within the intensity X ellipse
(violet). The earthquake was felt by persons within the intensity II region (green). The
orientation of the curious `Mexican-hat' shape of the epicentral region mapped by Oldham
corresponds to the strike of the causal subsurface rupture derived from geodetic
data (Fig. 2).
© 2001 Macmillan Magazines Ltd