Copyright © Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.
Seasonal blood pressure changes: which ambient
temperature should we consider?
Pietro Amedeo Modesti
a
and Gianfranco Parati
b,c
See original paper on page 1582
M
ost countries suffer from 5 to 30% excess winter
mortality (EWM), the majority of additional winter
deaths being caused by cerebrovascular diseases,
which may be related, among other factors, to the pressor
effect of cold weather. The possibility to control the blood
pressure (BP) changes associated with low environmental
temperature is thus a relevant issue, for both physicians and
public health officers. In this regard, previous investi-
gations, as well as recommendations given to citizens, have
been developing into two different directions, underlying
the importance of indoor or outdoor temperature, respect-
ively, although the health impact of cold strain seems to be a
more complex issue.
The diffusion of effective systems for heating homes has
always been considered as an important element in the
promotion of public health, especially in world regions
characterized by cold winters. To reduce the environmental
impact of ambient indoor heating and at the same time to
optimize its effects, there is now increasing attention
towards technologies that can improve heating systems
efficiency, by reducing heat loss from homes walls, doors
and windows.
These efforts seem to have been rewarding because,
using a 5-year moving average, which smoothens out short-
term fluctuations, excess winter deaths have been declining
steadily since 1960 – 1961 up to current times. However, the
importance of thermal efficiency standards in relation to
housing is not equally felt as an important issue in the
different European countries. This may be partly due to the
observation that, in Europe, although mortality does
increase as weather gets colder, differences in outdoor
temperature only explain a small amount of the variance
in winter mortality, and high levels of EWM can occur
during relatively mild winters [1]. More precisely, Healey
[2] showed that EWM varied widely within Europe, and that
countries with very low outdoor winter temperatures in
Scandinavia and Northern Europe, such as Finland and
Germany, somehow unexpectedly had very low rates of
EWM, whereas countries with very mild winter tempera-
tures in Southern Europe, such as Portugal and Spain,
displayed very high rates of EWM.
In fact, European countries with milder winters also tend
to have homes with poorer thermal efficiency (e.g. fewer
homes have cavity wall insulation and double glazing),
which makes it harder to keep homes constantly warm
during winter [2]. Available data on cross-country thermal
efficiency standards in housing indicate that those countries
with the poorest thermal housing efficiency (Portugal,
Greece, Ireland, the UK) do indeed demonstrate the highest
excess winter mortality [2].
The same epidemiological data can, however, be read in
a different perspective. The behavioural capability to cope
with cold weather was also shown to display quite wide
variations within Europe. The Eurowinter group [3]
reported that, compared with people living in countries
with cold winters, individuals from warmer countries were
less likely to wear warm protective clothing in cold
weather. The same international survey showed an inde-
pendent association of outdoor, as well as indoor, low
ambient temperatures with excess mortality in such
countries during cold weather [3].
People in the retirement age are particularly vulnerable
to winter temperatures, and show higher mortality rates
with cold weather. Indeed, in Great Britain, blue collars at
working age (50–59 years) had lower cold weather-
related mortality as compared either with their wives of
similar age or with men of the same social class after
retirement age (65–74 years). These observations suggest
that body internal heat production from manual work
protected men of working age against daytime cold-
related stress, as well as against the associated risk of
higher mortality.
Moreover, elderly people living in sheltered houses that
were fully heated, but who often went outdoors, had as
much winter mortality as the general elderly population
including those living in less well heated houses [4]. This is
not surprising, since the majority of additional winter deaths
are caused by cerebrovascular diseases, and, for example,
cold temperature-related stress affecting people waiting at a
Journal of Hypertension 2014, 32:1577–1579
a
Department of Medicina Sperimentale e Clinica, University of Florence, Florence,
b
Department of Cardiovascular, Neural and Metabolic Sciences, S. Luca Hospital,
Istituto Auxologico Italiano and
c
Department of Health Sciences, University of Milano-
Bicocca, Milan, Italy
Correspondence to Gianfranco Parati, MD, FESC, Cardiology Unit, San Luca Hospital,
Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Piazzale Brescia 20, Milan 20149, Italy. Tel: +39 02 61911
2949; fax: +39 02 61911 2956; e-mail: gianfranco.parati@unimib.it
J Hypertens 32:1577–1579 ß 2014 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott Williams &
Wilkins.
DOI:10.1097/HJH.0000000000000262
Journal of Hypertension www.jhypertension.com 1577
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