ARTHRITIS & RHEUMATISM
Vol. 58, No. 2, February 2008, pp 623–630
DOI 10.1002/art.23121
© 2008, American College of Rheumatology
Serum Uric Acid Is an Independent Predictor of
All-Cause Mortality in Patients at
High Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
A Preventive Cardiology Information System (PreCIS) Database Cohort Study
Adriana G. Ioachimescu, Danielle M. Brennan, Brian M. Hoar, Stanley L. Hazen,
and Byron J. Hoogwerf
Objective. Uric acid is a product of the activity of
xanthine oxidase, an enzyme linked to oxidative stress,
endothelial dysfunction, and heart failure. It is unclear
whether adding uric acid levels to the assessment of
cardiovascular risk might contribute to the improved
ability to stratify cardiovascular risk. The purpose of
this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum
uric acid levels in a large cohort of men and women at
high risk of cardiovascular disease.
Methods. Serum uric acid levels were determined
in all patients seen for primary/secondary cardiovascu-
lar disease prevention at the Cleveland Clinic Section of
Preventive Cardiology and Rehabilitation between 1998
and 2004, and all data were entered into the Preventive
Cardiology Information System (PreCIS) database. Vi-
tal status of the patients was determined through the
Social Security Death Index. Death from all causes was
summarized across quartiles of uric acid values.
Results. A total of 3,098 patients (age range 18–87
years) were identified in the database, among whom
43% had cardiovascular disease. There were 156 deaths
(5%) during the 14,262 person-years of followup. For
each 1-mg/dl increase in the serum uric acid level,
there was a 39% increase in the risk of death (by Cox
regression analysis). After adjusting for age, sex, smok-
ing status, alcohol consumption, weight, body mass
index, waist circumference, blood pressure, history of
cardiovascular disease, estimated glomerular filtration
rate, levels of cholesterol fractions, and plasma glucose
levels, the serum uric acid level continued to predict the
risk of death (hazard ratio 1.26 [95% confidence
interval 1.15–1.38], P < 0.001). This association was
present regardless of diuretic use. Concordance index
(C statistic) analyses showed that uric acid significantly
improved the predictive accuracy of a model that in-
cluded Framingham Heart Study score factors, meta-
bolic syndrome components, and fibrinogen levels.
Conclusion. Serum uric acid levels are an inde-
pendent predictor of death in patients at high risk of
cardiovascular disease. Further studies are warranted
to evaluate its prognostic implications and potential
utility in the monitoring of therapy.
Uric acid (urate) is a product of the activity of
xanthine oxidase, an enzyme increasingly implicated as a
mechanistic participant in oxidant stress and cardiovas-
cular disease. Xanthine oxidase activity is increased
during ischemia and heart failure, and treatment with
xanthine oxidase inhibitors has favorable effects on
myocardial oxygen consumption and endothelium-
dependent vascular function (1,2). Hyperuricemia has
also been linked to multiple proatherogenic processes,
including increased oxidative stress (3,4), vascular
smooth muscle cell proliferation (5), leukocyte activa-
tion (6), and crystal formation within coronary athero-
sclerotic plaques (7).
Although numerous studies have noted an asso-
Dr. Hazen’s work was supported by the NIH (grant P01-HL-
076491).
Adriana G. Ioachimescu, MD, PhD, Danielle M. Brennan,
MS, Brian M. Hoar, Stanley L. Hazen, MD, PhD, Byron J. Hoogwerf,
MD: Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio.
Address correspondence and reprint requests to Byron J.
Hoogwerf, MD, Cleveland Clinic, Department of Endocrinology,
Diabetes, and Metabolism, 9500 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, OH 44195.
E-mail: hoogweb@ccf.org.
Submitted for publication April 20, 2007; accepted in revised
form October 19, 2007.
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