Fronts from two-dimensional dispersal kernels: Beyond the nonoverlapping-generations model Daniel R. Amor and Joaquim Fort Departament de Física, Universitat de Girona, Girona, 17071 Catalonia, Spain Received 30 July 2009; revised manuscript received 21 October 2009; published 23 November 2009 Most integrodifference models of biological invasions are based on the nonoverlapping-generations approxi- mation. However, the effect of multiple reproduction events overlapping generationson the front speed can be very important especially for species with a long life spam. Only in one-dimensional space has this approximation been relaxed previously, although almost all biological invasions take place in two dimensions. Here we present a model that takes into account the overlapping generations effect or, more generally, the stage structure of the population, and we analyze the main differences with the corresponding nonoverlapping- generations results. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.051918 PACS numbers: 87.23.Cc, 89.20.-a, 89.75.Fb I. INTRODUCTION Reaction-diffusion and reaction-dispersal fronts have many applications in physical, biological, and cross- disciplinary systems 13, e.g., virus infection fronts 4,5, combustion fronts 6,7, human population fronts 8,9, etc. Motivated by Reid’s paradox of rapid tree range expansions, recently we have proposed a framework which is useful in two-dimensional 2Dspace under the assumption of non- overlapping generations 10. Modeling forest postglacial re- colonization fronts by using single-kernel reaction-dispersal assumptions results in the underestimates of the observed speeds this disagreement is known as Reid’s paradox. In order to better predict such speeds, our recent work intro- duced several-component kernels with characteristic dis- tances differing several orders of magnitude10. In this way, long-distance dispersal even if occurring infrequently makes it possible to predict speeds of the right order of mag- nitude, as observed from postglacial tree recolonization fronts. However, previous work in two dimensions did not take the age structure of tree populations into account. Indeed, trees reproduce every year and not only once in their life- time, so generations clearly overlap. Therefore, here we will extend the 2D model 10to overlapping generations. We shall show that the corrections relative to the nonoverlap- ping approximationare relevant, which justifies the impor- tance of our model. Previously, overlapping-generation mod- els have been only developed in one dimension 1118. Our model is relevant not only to tree species, but can be applied to compute front speeds also in other biophysical and physi- cal systems in which the reproductive or reactiveprocess happens more than once for each individual or particle. II. EVOLUTION EQUATION A. Nonstructured populations in two dimensions (continuous space random walk) Integrodifference equations have been widely used to model biophysical and cross-disciplinary reaction-dispersion phenomena. For example, for the case of trees population dispersion seed dispersaltakes place just after reproduction seed production. Thus the evolution of a nonstructured population in a 2D space is driven by the well-known inte- grodifference equation 19 px, y, t + T= R 0 - + - + px + x , y + y , t x , y d x d y , 1 where px , y , t + Tis the population density at the location x , yand time t + T. Recently we have argued that this evo- lution equation is also relevant to other biological species besides trees, e.g., humans 20. However, for the sake of definiteness and clarity, in this paper we will consider trees in our explanations. The time interval T is that between two subsequent dispersal events or “jumps” in the nonstructured model, T is one generation, i.e., the mean age of trees when they begin to produce seeds. R 0 is the net reproductive rate number of seeds per parent tree and year which survive into an adult tree. Equation 1is the nonoverlapping- generations model. It is worth to stress that in this model, the net reproductive rate per year is always used for R 0 19. The dispersal kernel x , y is the probability per unit area that a particle that a seed falling from a parent tree located at x + x , y + y , treaches the ground at x , y , t + T. Strictly, Eq. 1is valid only at sufficiently low values of the popu- lation density p, because there is a maximum saturation den- sity above which net reproduction vanishes see Eq. 9in Ref. 20; however, this point does not affect the computa- tion of front speeds because, as we shall see below, such computations can be performed at low values of p. Equation 1is a continuous space random-walk CSRW equation in two dimensions. It is just an integration over all possible jumps, which takes into account the probability of each possible jump dispersal kernel x , y  as well as the productivity of new individuals net reproduction rate R 0 . Let us first summarize some previous results, and we will then extend them to more general situations. The speed of fronts evolving according to Eq. 1can be obtained under some general assumptions, as follows 10,21. We assume that R 0 1, that the initial population density has bounded support i.e., that px , y , tvanishes outside a finite region, and that for t the front becomes approximately planar at scales much larger than that of individual dispersal events. PHYSICAL REVIEW E 80, 051918 2009 1539-3755/2009/805/0519189©2009 The American Physical Society 051918-1