CARDIOLOGY AND VASCULAR/ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The Risk of Missed Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction
Associated With Emergency Department Volume
Michael J. Schull, MD, MSc
Marian J. Vermeulen, MHSc
Therese A. Stukel, PhD
From the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Schull, Vermeulen, Stukel), the Clinical
Epidemiology Unit, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Schull, Stukel), the Department of
Emergency Services, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (Schull), and the Department of Medicine
(Schull), and the Department of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation (Schull, Vermeulen,
Stukel), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Study objective: Missed diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction is associated with adverse clinical
outcomes and more dollars recovered in malpractice suits than any other condition. The rate of
missed diagnosis varies between emergency departments (EDs); we hypothesized that it is
associated with the volume of acute myocardial infarction patients treated in an ED and that the
association can be explained by other hospital characteristics.
Methods: We linked the records of all acute myocardial infarction patients admitted to an Ontario
hospital in 2002 to 2003 to their ED visit records in the 7 days preceding admission. Acute myocardial
infarctions were defined as missed if the diagnosis on the previous visit matched a list of cardiac
symptoms and illnesses. We assessed whether annual volume of admitted acute myocardial infarction
patients treated in the ED (grouped as 0 to 49; 50 to 99; 100 to 199; 200 to 299; and 300) was
associated with missed acute myocardial infarction, adjusting for age, sex, teaching hospital status, and
acute myocardial infarction severity. In a secondary analysis, we used data from a survey of Ontario EDs
to assess whether hospital characteristics (triage practices, use of diagnostic tests, and consultant
availability) explained the volume association.
Results: Of 19,663 acute myocardial infarction patients, mean age (68.3 years), sex (63% men), and
predicted 1-year mortality (mean 0.21; SD 0.18) were similar across volume groups. The rate of
missed acute myocardial infarction was 2.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9% to 2.3%) and varied
from 0% to 29% across EDs. Compared with very high-volume EDs, the adjusted odds ratio of missed
acute myocardial infarction was 2.0 in very low- (95% CI 1.5 to 2.7) and 1.6 in low- (95% CI 1.1 to
2.3) volume EDs. Consultant availability partially explained the volume effect.
Conclusion: Lower-volume EDs have up to 2-fold higher odds of missed acute myocardial infarctions
compared with highest-volume ones after controlling for patient factors. Many current technologies
designed to increase diagnostic sensitivity are feasible only in higher-volume centers. Efforts to
reduce overall rates of missed acute myocardial infarctions should instead focus on simpler
solutions appropriate for lower-volume EDs, such as telemedicine to improve access to consultant
expertise. [Ann Emerg Med. 2006;48:647-655.]
0196-0644/$-see front matter
Copyright © 2006 by the American College of Emergency Physicians.
doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2006.03.025
SEE EDITORIAL, P. 657.
INTRODUCTION
Background
Patients with symptoms suggestive of acute myocardial
infarction should promptly seek medical evaluation, yet the
diagnosis is missed in about 2% to 3% of acute myocardial
infarction patients presenting to emergency departments (EDs) in
the United States
1
and Canada
2
and about 6% of patients in the
United Kingdom.
3
Failure to accurately diagnose an acute
myocardial infarction leads to delays in the initiation of appropriate
treatments, may increase mortality,
1,3,4
and is responsible for more
dollars recovered in malpractice suits than any other condition.
3,5–7
Importance
Studies to identify predictors of missed acute myocardial
infarction have focused on patient-level factors.
1,8
However,
predictors that have been identified, such as nonwhite race and a
normal ECG,
1
are of limited clinical utility and lack specificity.
Interventions designed to reduce the risk, such as specialized
Volume , . : December Annals of Emergency Medicine 647