AIDS RESEARCH AND HUMAN RETROVIRUSES
Volume 21, Number 4, 2005, pp. 285–291
© Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
Short Communication
Viral Dynamics and CD4
+
T Cell Counts in Subtype C
Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1-Infected Individuals
from Southern Africa
CLIVE M. GRAY,
1
CAROLYN WILLIAMSON,
2
HELBA BREDELL,
3
ADRIAN PUREN,
1
XIAOHUA XIA,
3
RUBEN FILTER,
3
LYNN ZIJENAH,
4
HUYEN CAO,
5
LYNN MORRIS,
1
EFTHYIA VARDAS,
6
MARK COLVIN,
6
GLENDA GRAY,
7
JAMES MCINTYRE,
7
ROSEMARY MUSONDA,
8
SUSAN ALLEN,
8
DAVID KATZENSTEIN,
9
MIKE MBIZO,
4
NEWTON KUMWENDA,
10
TAHA TAHA,
10
SALIM ABDOOL KARIM,
6
JORGE FLORES,
11
and HAYNES W. SHEPPARD
5
ABSTRACT
Defining viral dynamics in natural infection is prognostic of disease progression and could prove to be im-
portant for vaccine trial design as viremia may be a likely secondary end point in phase III HIV efficacy tri-
als. There are limited data available on the early course of plasma viral load in subtype C HIV-1 infection in
Africa. Plasma viral load and CD4
T cell counts were monitored in 51 recently infected subjects for 9 months.
Individuals were recruited from four southern African countries: Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe, and South
Africa and the median estimated time from seroconversion was 8.9 months (interquartile range, 5.7–14
months). All were infected with subtype C HIV-1 and median viral loads, measured using branched DNA,
ranged from 3.82–4.02 log
10
RNA copies/ml from 2–24 months after seroconversion. Viral loads significantly
correlated with CD4
cell counts (r 0.5, p 0.0001; range, 376–364 cells/mm
3
) and mathematical mod-
eling defined a median set point of 4.08 log
10
(12 143 RNA copies/ml), which was attained approximately 17
months after seroconversion. Comparative measurements using three different viral load platforms (bDNA,
Amplicor, and NucliSens) confirmed that viremia in subtype C HIV-1-infected individuals within the first 2
years of infection did not significantly differ from that found in early subtype B infection. In conclusion, the
course of plasma viremia, as described in this study, will allow a useful baseline comparator for understand-
ing disease progression in an African setting and may be useful in the design of HIV-1 vaccine trials in south-
ern Africa.
285
1
National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa.
2
Institute of Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
3
Department of Electrical Engineering, Pretoria University, Pretoria, South Africa.
4
Department of Immunology, University of Zimbabwe, Harase, Zimbabwe.
5
Department of Health Services, Richmond, California.
6
HIV Vaccine and Prevention Trials Unit, MRC, Durban, South Africa.
7
Perinatal HIV Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
8
Zambia-UAB HIV Research Project, Lusaka, Zambia.
9
Center for AIDS Research, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California.
10
Johns Hopkins Research Project, Blantyre, Malawi.
11
Division of AIDS, National Institutes of Health, Washington DC.