ISSN 0747-9239, Seismic Instruments, 2010, Vol. 46, No. 3, pp. 275–285. © Allerton Press, Inc., 2010.
Original Russian Text © V.N. Chebrov, A.A. Gusev, V.K. Gusyakov, V.N. Mishatkin, A.A. Poplavskii, 2010, published in Seismicheskie Pribory, 2009, Vol. 45, no. 4, pp. 41–57.
275
INTRODUCTION
Tsunamis are dangerous natural phenomena that
can lead to mass deaths, destruction of populations,
and economic damage. In the 20th century alone,
powerful tsunamis repeatedly struck Russia’s Pacific
coast (1923, 1952, 1959, 1969, and 1994). The main
factor causing tsunami waves (approximately 85%) are
underwater earthquakes. Historic and geological data
reliably substantiate a high level of tsunami and earth-
quake danger for the Russian Far East; it is certain that
these natural hazards will be repeated here systemati-
cally in the future [Solov’ev, 1972; Levin, 2005].
The Tsunami Warning Service (TWS) was estab-
lished in the Russian Far East after the destructive
1952 tsunami struck the Kamchatka Peninsula and
Kurile Islands. Using the data of three-component
recording of seismic signals, it is possible to find epi-
center coordinates and magnitude, i.e., to determine
the origin and energy of the earthquake. Estimation of
the probability of a tsunami from these parameters is
the essence of the magnitude–geographic criterion,
which continues to be the basis of the TWS’ work
[Savarenskii, 1956; Poplavskii et al., 1997].
So that a tsunami warning will be timely, the loca-
tion of the epicenter and earthquake power should be
determined with minimal delay after its onset. For this
TWS seismic stations were equipped with specially
designed seismic apparatus, which was their basic
equipment [Kirnos and Rykov, 1961]. These are stan-
dard mechanical seismographs with small amplifica-
tion and UBOPE (Ustroistvo dlya Bystrogo OPrede-
leniya Epicentra; Device for Rapid Determination of
Epicenter), specially designed for operational work
with amplification from 1 to 30. The range of recorded
periods is T = 2 to 4 s at a level of 0.9 [Apparatura…,
1974]. These mechanical installations, intended for
recording strong earthquakes at epicentral distances of
150 to 2000 km in a narrow range of periods of 0.2–4.0 s,
became obsolete long ago, but are still used in the TWS
at the Severo-Kuril’sk and Petropavlovsk-Kam-
chatskii seismic stations. At the Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
seismic station, they were removed in the late 1980s.
In the 1960s, standard Kirnos system devices were
additionally installed at the stations; the natural oscil-
lation period of pendulums was T
S
= 12 s [Appa-
ratura…, 1974]. Due to the small dynamic recording
range of these devices, they can be used only for more
distant or relatively weak nearby earthquakes. In the
Kirnos devices, the seismic signals were recorded on
photographic paper, which made it impossible to use
them for operationally estimating the azimuth of the
epicenter.
In the 1970s, seismographs with recording on ther-
mal paper SKD-UP-SPR (T = 20 s; V = 1000, 200,
50, and 10) [Apparatura…, 1974] were installed at the
stations. Their use for recording strong nearby earth-
quakes was limited by magnitudes of M = 6.0–6.5 due
Concept for Developing a Seismologic Observation System
for Tsunami Warning in the Russian Far East
V. N. Chebrov
a
, A. A. Gusev
a,b
, V. K. Gusyakov
c
, V. N. Mishatkin
d
, and A. A. Poplavskii
e, f
a
Kamchatka Division of Geophysical Service, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii, Russia
b
Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, Far East Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii, Russia
c
Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch,
Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia
d
Geophysical Service, Russian Academy of Sciences, Obninsk, Kaluga oblast, Russia
e
Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics, Far East Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, Russia
f
Geophysical Service, Sakhalin Division, Russian Academy of Sciences, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, Russia
Abstract—The initial information and requirements for developing a seismologic observation system and
data-processing and transfer tools for a tsunami warning system and its functions and tasks are considered.
The structure of the seismologic observation system for the tsunami warning service (TWS) in the Russian Far
East is proposed. A study of general technical and methodological problems is carried out to increase the effi-
ciency for urgent tsunami prediction from continuous seismic monitoring data of territories of the Russian
Far East and the world. Special attention is paid to the problem of tsunami prediction from seismologic data
on strong earthquakes in near zone of a protected territory (up to 200 km).
Key words: seismology, tsunami, seismologic observation system, operative tsunami prediction, near zone.
DOI: 10.3103/S0747923910030096