Relation of the Prognostic Value of Ventilatory Efficiency to Body Mass Index in Patients With Heart Failure Paul Chase, MEd a, *, Ross Arena, PhD b , Jonathan Myers, PhD d , Joshua Abella MD c , Mary Ann Peberdy, MD c , Marco Guazzi, MD, PhD e , and Daniel Bensimhon, MD a The ventilatory efficiency, minute ventilation (VE)/carbon dioxide production (VCO 2 ), slope consistently provides valuable prognostic information in patients with heart failure (HF). Patients with a higher body mass index (BMI) have demonstrated an improved prognosis in the HF population, a phenomenon that has been termed the “obesity para- dox.” The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic ability of the VE/VCO 2 slope according to BMI in patients with HF. Seven-hundred four patients with HF (555 men, 149 women, mean age 56.8 13.4 years, ejection fraction 33.1 13.3%) with a BMI >18.5 kg/m 2 underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Subjects were divided into 3 BMI subgroups (18.5 to 24.9, 25.0 to 29.9, and >30 kg/m 2 ). Each subject was tracked for major cardiac events (death, transplantation, left ventricular assist device implantation) for 2 years after testing. There were 86 major cardiac events (71 deaths, 10 transplantations, 5 left ventricular assist device implantations) during the 2-year tracking period (overall annual event rate 8.2%). The VE/VCO 2 slope was the strongest prognostic marker in each BMI subgroup. Subjects in the highest BMI group had the lowest mean VE/VCO 2 slope and the lowest rate of major cardiac events of the 3 groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that peak VO 2 did not add additional prognostic value to the VE/VCO 2 slope and was removed from the regression for each BMI subgroup. In conclusion, the findings of the present study indicate that VE/VCO 2 slope maintains prognostic value irrespective of BMI in patients with HF. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. (Am J Cardiol 2008;101: 348 –352) Obesity is associated with alterations in pulmonary function and mechanics, leading to increased potential for obstruc- tive sleep apnea, obesity/hypoventilation syndrome, dys- pnea on exertion, and exercise intolerance. It has been well established that the ventilatory efficiency, minute ventila- tion (VE)/carbon dioxide production (VCO 2 ), slope and peak oxygen consumption (VO 2 ) consistently provide valu- able prognostic information in patients with heart failure (HF). 1–6 Several recent studies have shown that the VE/ VCO 2 slope outperforms peak VO 2 in predicting major cardiac events. To our knowledge, the effect of obesity on the VE/VCO 2 slope and the prognostic power of cardiopul- monary exercise testing in patients with HF have not been fully evaluated. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic ability of the VE/VCO 2 slope in patients with HF across the spectrum of body mass index (BMI). Methods This study is a multicenter analysis including patients with HF from cardiopulmonary exercise laboratories at San Pa- olo Hospital (Milan, Italy), Virginia Commonwealth Uni- versity (Richmond, Virginia), LeBauer Cardiovascular Re- search Foundation (Greensboro, North Carolina), and the VA Palo Alto Health Care System and Stanford University (Palo Alto, California). A total of 704 patients with chronic HF and tested between March 18, 1993 and March 5, 2007 were included. Inclusion criteria consisted of a diagnosis of HF, 7 stable HF symptoms and medications for 1 month before exercise testing, a BMI 18.5 kg/m 2 (lower thresh- old of normal), and evidence of left ventricular systolic and/or diastolic dysfunction by 2-dimensional echocardiog- raphy performed within 1 month of exercise testing. Sub- jects were classified as having systolic HF if they presented with a left ventricular ejection fraction 45%. Subjects with an ejection fraction 50% and clinical evidence of HF were classified as having diastolic dysfunction. 8 As our group has done previously, 3,4 patients with diastolic dysfunction (14% of entire group) were grouped with subjects with nonisch- emic HF for analysis. Subjects received routine follow-up care at the 4 institutions included in this study. All subjects completed a written informed consent and institutional re- view board approval was obtained at each institution. Symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing was performed in all patients using treadmill 9 or cycle ergom- etry 10 ramping protocols. A treadmill was used for testing in American centers, whereas a lower extremity cycle ergome- a LeBauer Cardiovascular Research Foundation, Greensboro, North Carolina; b Departments of Physical Therapy and c Internal Medicine, Vir- ginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia; d VA Palo Alto Health Care System, Cardiology Division, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California; and e University of Milano, San Paolo Hospital, Cardiopulmo- nary Laboratory, Cardiology Division, University of Milano, San Paolo Hospital, Milano, Italy. Manuscript received June 16, 2007; revised manu- script received and accepted August 24, 2007. *Corresponding author: Tel: 336-832-2546; fax: 336-832-7746. E-mail address: paul.chase@mosescone.com (P. Chase). 0002-9149/08/$ – see front matter © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. www.AJConline.org doi:10.1016/j.amjcard.2007.08.042