NEXT-GENERATION NUMERICAL
WEATHER PREDICTION
Bridging Parameterization,
Explicit Clouds, and Large Eddies
BY SONG-Y OU HONG AND JIMY DUDHIA
THE THIRD INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP
ON NEXT-GENERATION NWP MODELS
WHAT: Scientists from Korea, Japan, France, England,
Finland, and the United States met to discuss
recent developments in the parameterizations
of physical processes in next-generation, high-
resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP)
models (http://nml.yonsei.ac.kr/20100829/).
WHEN: 30 August–1 September 2010
WHERE : Seoguipo, Jeju, South Korea
S
ix years after the second international workshop
on the physical parameterizations in numerical
weather prediction (NWP) models in 2004 (Lee
and Hong 2005), attendees at the third workshop on
next-generation NWP models met to discuss progress
in high-resolution NWP modeling and share ideas
about future challenges. The main theme of the meet-
ing was “The Cloud-Resolving Modeling Approach
and Beyond.” As of 2010, convection-permitting and
cloud-resolving scale modeling has become practi-
cally feasible, along with the successful usage of large-
eddy simulation (LES) in developing subgrid-scale
parameterizations for these models. Many national
hydrometeorological centers are now running models
in the 2–5-km grid-size range, and will be increasing
resolution at a steady rate such that several centers
may be at around 1 km in 5 yr. The main topic of
the workshop focused on future problems in physics
as NWP models go to finer scales where there are
“gray zones” in which the explicit model dynamics
are almost capable of resolving features that were
parameterized at coarser scales. The following ques-
tions were posed for the workshop:
• At what scales do the one-dimensional (1D)
vertical mixing planetary boundary layer (PBL)
schemes, which are usually separated from hori-
zontal mixing, work?
• When do they need to be replaced with three-
dimensional (3D) large-eddy-simulating turbu-
lence models?
• At what scales are models considered to be convec-
tion permitting?
• When is a cumulus parameterization scheme
(CPS) needed?
• When is a separate shallow convective scheme
needed?
AFFILIATIONS : HONG—Department of Atmospheric Sciences,
Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; DUDHIA—MMM Division,
NCAR, Boulder, Colorado
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR : Song-You Hong, Department of
Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul 120–749, South
Korea
E-mail: shong@yonsei.ac.kr
DOI:10.1175/2011BAMS3224.1
In final form 24 August 2011
©2012 American Meteorological Society
1 JANUARY 2012 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |