Environ Monit Assess (2012) 184:625–635
DOI 10.1007/s10661-011-1991-0
Non-detection errors in a survey of persistent,
highly-detectable vegetation species
Kenneth D. Clarke · Megan Lewis ·
Robert Brandle · Bertram Ostendorf
Received: 26 July 2010 / Accepted: 23 February 2011 / Published online: 22 March 2011
© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011
Abstract Rare, small or annual vegetation species
are widely known to be imperfectly detected with
single site surveys by most conventional vege-
tation survey methods. However, the detectabil-
ity of common, persistent vegetation species is
assumed to be high, but without supporting re-
search. In this study, we evaluate the extent
of false-negative errors of perennial vegetation
species in a systematic vegetation survey in arid
South Australia. Analysis was limited to the seven
most easily detected persistent vegetation species
and controlled for observer skill. By comparison
of methodologies, we then predict the magnitude
of non-detection error rates in a second survey.
The analysis revealed that all but one highly
detectable perennial vegetation species was im-
perfectly detected (detection probabilities ranged
from 0.22 to 0.83). While focussed in the Aus-
tralian rangelands, the implications of this study
K. D. Clarke (B ) · M. Lewis · B. Ostendorf
The University of Adelaide, Adelaide,
South Australia 5005, Australia
e-mail: kenneth.clarke@adelaide.edu.au
R. Brandle
South Australian Department for Environment and
Natural Resources, Science Resource Centre,
Adelaide, South Australia 5000, Australia
are far reaching. Inferences drawn from system-
atic vegetation surveys that fail to identify and
account for non-detection errors should be con-
sidered potentially flawed. The identification of
this problem in vegetation surveying is long over-
due. By comparison, non-detection has been a
widely acknowledged, and dealt with, problem in
fauna surveying for decades. We recommend that,
where necessary, vegetation survey methodology
adopt the methods developed in fauna surveying
to cope with non-detection errors.
Keywords Non-detection · Vegetation survey
Introduction
Non-detection errors are a widely acknowledged
problem in fauna surveys (Bunge and Fitzpatrick
1993; Colwell and Coddington 1994; Dorazio and
Royle 2005; MacKenzie 2005; Mao and Colwell
2005), and many survey and analysis methods
have been developed to counteract the influence
of non-detections. The most common of these
methods is repeat site visits within a relatively
short time (MacKenzie et al. 2002; Tyre et al. 2003;
Boudreau and Yan 2004; Gu and Swihart 2004;
Field et al. 2005). However, non-detection is a se-
rious and as-yet underappreciated problem in veg-
etation surveying (Kéry and Schmidt 2008; Guoke