World Journal of Medical Sciences 13 (2): 157-164, 2016
ISSN 1817-3055
© IDOSI Publications, 2016
DOI: 10.5829/idosi.wjms.2016.13.2.102182
Corresponding Author: Neelma Shamsi, The University of Lahore, Sargodha Campus, Pakistan.
Cell: +92-3327721304, E-mail: neelma_shamsi@yahoo.com.
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What Determine the Public Health Expenditure in Pakistan?
Urbanization, Income and Unemployment
Neelma Shamsi and Muhammad Waqas
1 2
The University of Lahore, Sargodha Campus, Pakistan
1
The University of Sargodha, Pakistan
2
Abstract: This study explored the determinants of public health expenditure in Pakistan by utilizing different
socio-economic variables. The time series data from the period 1980 to 2009 has been used for the analysis.
The results of Augmented Dickey–Fuller unit root test depicted that variables have different order of
integrations. Results of OLS showed that income, primary school enrollment and urban population have
positive impact on public health expenditure while unemployment rate has negative impact on public health
expenditure.
Key words: Pakistan Public Health Expenditures Time Series Unit Root
INTRODUCTION First time Newhouse [5] found out the determinants
Health is a necessity rather than a luxury for human much importance in research. Many other researchers
beings [1]. A person with poor health can’t work properly
and efficiently. Labor force is a significant factor of
production than capital and technology [2]. Healthy
workers can work for longer hours and are more
productive than unhealthy workers. As a result they earn
higher earnings and play an important role in the
economic development of the country. A big determinant
of economic growth is investment in human capital. In the
case of children, poor health also has negative impact
on their learning abilities and educational outcomes.
Poor health decreases the efficiency of human capital [3].
That’s why increase in public health expenditure got so
much importance during the recent years. If the problem
of low expenditure on health care services are not solved,
it will cause much more problems like human capital
inefficiency, low productivity, low saving and
investment (As large portion of income spent on poor
health and diseases) and low school enrollment rates.
Consequently economic growth of the country will be
affected. The factors which affect the decisions of public
health expenditure not only include environmental and
biological factors, they also include demographic,
economic and social factors [4].
of public health expenditure. After that this topic got so
have tried to explore the determinants of public health
expenditure. Those researchers are Bhat and Jain [1], Font
and Novell [3], Gupta et al. [4], Siddiqui et al. [6],
Govindraj et al. [7], Filmer and Pritchett [8], Ricci and
Marios [9], Sekhar [10], Bhabesh and Sekhar [11], Akram
and Khan [12], Rahman [13], Manzoor et al. [14],
Chaabouni and Abednnadher [15], Potrafke [16], Abbas
and Hiemenz [17], Yu et al. [18], Xu et al. [19], Craigwell et
al. [20], Imoughele and Ismaila [21] and Yaqub et al. [22]
Bhat and Jain [1] tried to explore the effect of Gross
Domestic Product on public health expenditure using
Indian state level data. The data was collected from 14
states of INDIA. The specific objectives of this study
were to explore that public health spending is a necessity
or a luxury good. To find out the impact of income on
public health expenditure they used per capita gross state
domestic product (GSDP) for income and per capita state
public health expenditure (PHCE) for health. Panel data
used for this analysis was from 1990 to 2002. First they
checked the stationarity by using Augmented
Dickey–Fuller test. The coefficients of estimates are
elastic so the model is specified in log-log form. As a
result of Hausman test, Random Effects model is