Policy Punctuations and Issue Diversity on the European
Council Agenda
Petya Alexandrova, Marcello Carammia, and Arco Timmermans
The European Council is the highest political body of the European Union and the main venue for
setting the agenda on high politics. Using a new dataset of all content-coded European Council
Conclusions issued between 1975 and 2010, we analyze the policy agenda of the European Council and
test hypotheses on agenda change and diversity over time. We find that the theory of punctuated
equilibrium applies to the agenda of the European Council, which exhibits a degree of kurtosis similar
to that found in policy agendas of other institutions located at the juncture between input and output
of the policy process. Throughout the 36-year period, agenda-setting dynamics involved both small
changes and major shifts but also more frequent medium-sized negative changes than found elsewhere.
Given capacity limits to the agenda, large expansions of attention to topics involved large cuts in
attention. Cuts were more often medium in size in order to maintain some level of attention to the topics
affected, even though issue disappearance from the European Council agenda has been frequent too.
This relates to the functions of the European Council as venue for high politics, with expectations about
issue attendance rising with increasing policy jurisdictions throughout the European integration
process. Studying dynamics over time, we measured entropy to show how the agenda became more
diverse but also displayed episodic concentration in an oscillating pattern. This can be accounted for by
the nature of the European Council as a policy venue: increasing complexity of this institution pushed
the members to produce a more diverse agenda, but capacity limits and the need to be responsive to
incoming information led to concentration at specific time-points.
KEY WORDS: policy agenda, European Union, European Council, punctuated equilibrium, issue
diversity
Introduction
When the credit crunch hit Europe, it set in motion a rapid wave of attention to
financial and economic problems. National governments responded with large-scale
bailouts, and this pushed the snowball of economic problems to the European
agenda as deficits were rising rapidly and the euro, the symbol of monetary integra-
tion, came under so much pressure that experts began to predict its collapse. These
signals of alarm made economic governance the top priority of the European Union
(EU).
The Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 40, No. 1, 2012
69
0190-292X © 2012 Policy Studies Organization
Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc., 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA, and 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford, OX4 2DQ.