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Original Research Article
Dement Geriatr Cogn Disord 2009;27:173–181
DOI: 10.1159/000200465
Predictive Value of Mild Cognitive
Impairment for Dementia
The Influence of Case Definition and Age
M.A.E. Baars
a
M.P.J. van Boxtel
a
J.B. Dijkstra
a
P.J. Visser
a, c
M. van den Akker
b
F.R.J. Verhey
a
J. Jolles
a
a
Department of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology and
b
Department of General Practice, School for Public Health
and Primary Care CAPHRI, Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Maastricht University, Maastricht, and
c
Department of Neurology, VU University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Introduction
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a transitional
state between normal functioning and dementia [1]. Pro-
gression to dementia is one possible outcome for indi-
viduals classified as having MCI. The rate of progression
to dementia differs greatly between studies [2, 3]. Case
definition is one reason for these differences. In the ear-
lier studies, amnestic and nonamnestic MCI subtypes
were predominantly used as predictors of Alzheimer’s
disease [1, 4]. Over the past years, the discussion on the
applicability of MCI as a prognostic marker has shifted
towards a broader interpretation that includes several do-
mains of cognition, such as memory and executive func-
tioning in 1 definition [5]. The predictive value of MCI
for dementia has been found to be highest when a com-
bination of complaints (reported by the patient or part-
ner), cognitive performance in multiple domains, and
preserved overall general functioning are taken into ac-
count [6]. However, it has also been suggested that subjec-
tive complaints should not be included in the definition
of MCI, because the predictive value for dementia does
not increase when these complaints are taken into ac-
count [7] .
Key Words
Dementia Age Cognition Mild cognitive impairment
Population-based study
Abstract
Background/Aims: In population studies, different mild
cognitive impairment (MCI) definitions have been used to
predict dementia at a later stage. This study compared pre-
dictive values of different MCI definitions for dementia, and
the effect of age on the predictive values was investigated.
Methods: This study was conducted as part of an ongoing
longitudinal study into the determinants of cognitive aging,
the Maastricht Aging Study. Results: MCI best predicted de-
mentia when multiple cognitive domains were considered
and subjective complaints were not (sensitivity: 0.66, speci-
ficity: 0.78). Age had a strong influence on the sensitivity of
MCI for dementia (age 60–70 years: sensitivity = 0.56; age
70–85 years: sensitivity = 0.70). Conclusion: The inclusion of
multiple cognitive domains and participants aged 70 years
and older leads to the best prediction of dementia, regard-
less of subjective complaints.
Copyright © 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel
Accepted: November 12, 2008
Published online: February 7, 2009
M.A.E. Baars, MSc
School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Division of Brain and Cognition
Maastricht University, DRT 12, PO Box 616
NL–6200 MD Maastricht (The Netherlands)
Tel. +31 43 388 4088, Fax +31 43 388 4092, E-Mail lia.baars@np.unimaas.nl
© 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel
1420–8008/09/0272–0173$26.00/0
Accessible online at:
www.karger.com/dem
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