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H
uman activity has resulted in the release of nearly
half a trillion tons of greenhouse gas (GHG) emis-
sions over the past 100 years, and, under some business-as-
usual scenarios, an additional trillion tons could be
released this century (IPCC 2001a). This trend is driving
climate change, and is likely to result in enormous losses
of both economic and natural capital if not properly
addressed (Figure 1).
The Kyoto Protocol on Climate Change, framed in 1992
and expected to come into force in the near future, repre-
sents an important milestone in tackling this pressing
global problem. Although many scientists believe that the
Protocol’s initial emissions targets represent only a tiny
fraction of the reductions that will ultimately be needed to
stabilize the atmospheric concentrations of GHGs, it is
widely seen as a valuable first step in building the kinds of
international institutions and cooperation that will be nec-
essary to adequately address this unprecedented challenge.
However, as it is currently written, the Protocol could be
interpreted in ways that are counterproductive with
regard to another acute problem of global magnitude: the
large-scale destruction of important ecological habitat and
biodiversity.
Biodiversity loss and climate change
Human-induced land use, land-use change, and forestry
(LULUCF) activities worldwide currently account for
20–25% of annual global GHG emissions, or roughly
1–1.5 billion tons of carbon (Watson et al. 2000). This
encompasses influencing flows within the carbon cycle
from activities such as forest removal, hydroelectric
damming, road expansion, urban sprawl, and soil degra-
dation and losses from agriculture, ranching, and logging.
It also includes the annual destruction of an estimated
6–10 million ha of tropical rain forest, harboring some of
the planet’s most biologically diverse and abundant flora
and fauna (Watson et al. 2000; Figure 2).
The rapid loss of forests is not only contributing to the
buildup of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO
2
), but is also
directly undermining the world’s biological resources, ulti-
mately precipitating species extinctions and biodiversity
loss. This, in turn, jeopardizes the climate adaptation ser-
vices which many complex ecosystems deliver, further
exacerbating the potential impacts of climate change.
Maintaining high biodiversity has been linked to
ecosystem resilience in the face of common climate
change-related shocks such as storms, floods, fires, and
droughts (Abramowitz 2001). Ecosystems that have more
diversity in terms of species, structure, and function pro-
vide more alternatives for transferring energy and nutri-
ents, and have a greater capacity for resisting and reacting
resiliently to such shocks compared to systems with low
biodiversity, which are more likely to decline or even col-
lapse and not recover (Folke et al. 2002). Furthermore, on
REVIEWS REVIEWS REVIEWS
Biodiversity, climate, and the Kyoto
Protocol: risks and opportunities
Michael Totten, Sonal I Pandya, and Toby Janson-Smith
Climate change is occurring at the same time as another problem of global and historical proportions – the
sixth mass species extinction crisis in the history of life on earth. Wide-scale deforestation is fueling climate
change and biodiversity loss, and is expected to greatly accelerate biodiversity loss and species extinctions.
Recognizing the intimate interconnection between these two global problems and designing resilient actions
that address both simultaneously is more important than ever; humanity has neither the time nor the finan-
cial resources to treat these challenges separately and sequentially. We must establish an international frame-
work to encourage synergistic actions that capture multiple benefits while avoiding negative trade-offs. The
Kyoto Protocol, as currently written, does little to advance such convergent solutions, and in many ways
could unwittingly promote further biodiversity loss. Here we outline the risks associated with this climate
treaty and suggest possible approaches that could capture otherwise lost opportunities.
Front Ecol Environ 2003; 1(5): 262–270
Center for Environmental Leadership in Business, Conservation
International, 1919 M St NW, Washington, DC 20036
In a nutshell:
• Deforestation is a major contributor to climate change and
biodiversity loss
• The current Kyoto Protocol fails to adequately include carbon
mitigation options that could reduce ecosystem and species
destruction, while encouraging others that may result in
adverse trade-offs
• Policy makers have the opportunity to promote actions that
simultaneously protect climate and biodiversity, while achiev-
ing substantial ecological, cost, and sustainable development
benefits
• The prevention of deforestation, ecological restoration of frag-
mented landscapes, and reforestation on degraded lands are
examples of such synergistic solutions