Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
16 (2005) 7–33
200323
European Monetary Union: nominal convergence,
real divergence and slow growth?
Eckhard Hein
∗
, Achim Truger
WSI in der Hans-Boeckler-Stiftung, Hans-Boeckler-Str. 39, Duesseldorf 40476, Germany
Received 1 January 2003; received in revised form 1 March 2003; accepted 1 June 2003
Available online 18 September 2003
Abstract
It is now widely acknowledged that the structural characteristics of the countries to form the Euro-
pean Monetary Union (EMU) did not meet the conditions of an optimum currency area (OCA) when
the euro was introduced in 1999. The OCA criteria appear to have little relevance for monetary inte-
gration, because they fail to capture the importance of macroeconomic policy institutions for growth
and convergence across a currency union. This paper examines the effects of the EMU framework
for monetary, fiscal and wage policies on overall growth and on convergence across the euro area.
It is concluded that the years before and after the introduction of the euro were characterized by a
restrictive policy mix that has not been conducive to aggregate growth nor to real convergence.
© 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
JEL classification: E58; E61; F15
Keywords: European Monetary Union; Nominal convergence; Real convergence; Macroeconomic policy mix
1. Introduction
It is now widely accepted that the structural characteristics of the countries to form the
European Monetary Union (EMU) did not meet the criteria of an optimum currency area
(OCA) when the euro was introduced in 1999. Despite significant convergence of nominal
variables, the economies of the potential member countries varied a lot in terms of GDP
growth, labour productivity and unemployment rates. The degrees of integration of labour,
goods and financial markets were generally considered to be lower than in the USA, the
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +49-211-7778215; fax: +49-211-7778190.
E-mail address: eckhard-hein@boeckler.de (E. Hein).
0954-349X/$ – see front matter © 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/S0954-349X(03)00049-3